The Horizon Report

1. The Horizon Report Malcolm B. Brown, Dartmouth College Julie K. Little, EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative 5 June 2008, E-Live!

2. Today’s Session History and Purpose The Process Inside the Horizon Report Putting the Horizon Report to Work for You

3. 1History and Purpose of the Horizon Report

4. Intended for Institutional Leadership (brief format) Released under 5 Annual Reports (2004-2008) Evolution of Structure Key Trends & Critical Challenges (‘06) Metatrends (‘08) Horizon Project Community (wiki & tags) Language translations introduced ‘07 (Spanish & Catalan) History

5. 5 Years of the Horizon Report Chris Lott: http://www.flickr.com/photos/fncll/2233514275/

6. In 4-5 years In 2-3 years In the next year Purpose     It’s a forecast targeting six emerging technologies considered on three different adoption "horizons." 6

7. 2Preparing the Horizon Report

8. Core Focus Teaching Learning Creative Expression

9. Core question What six emerging technologies or practices will likely enter into mainstream use in the next one to five years? Whatsix emerging technologies or practices will likely enter into mainstream use in the next one to five years?

10. Step 1 • Assemble Advisory Board • Set up collaboratory

11. Variety of perspectives • Adobe Systems • Apple, Inc • California State Monterey Bay • Case Western • CNI • Cornell University • Dartmouth College • Educause Learning Initiative • Forbes, Inc. • Hong Kong U of Science and Tech • IBM Almaden Research Center • Information Week • JISC (UK) • MIT • UC Berkeley • Nagoya University (Japan) • New Media Consortium • New York University • NITLE • Ohio State • Qatar Academy (Qatar) • Stanford • Texas State University • U Maryland • Universitat Oberta de Catalunya (Spain) • U of British Columbia (Canada) • U of Mary Washington • U of Missouri-Kansas City • U of Queensland (Australia) • U of Wollongong (Australia) • Westwood Schools Camilla

12. Step 2 Systematic review of emerging technologies and practices

13. Step 3 Research questions: placing emerging technology into the T/L/CE context

14. What established technologies should be in use today? • What established consumer technologies should be candidates for deployment? • What are the key emerging technologies for the 3-5 year horizon? What are our key challenges over the next five years? • What are the key trends that will shape us?

15. Step 4 Reponses and research results sorted into adoption horizons Near-term horizon (1 year or less) Medium-term horizon (2-3 years) Long-term horizon (4-5 years)

16. Step 5 Near-term horizon (1 year or less) Medium-term horizon (2-3 years) Long-term horizon (4-5 years) 80 candidates Short list of 12 Final 6

17. 3Inside the 2008 Horizon Report

18. 2008 HR: Grassroots Video Time to adoption: Within a year Tools for creating video are easer (and cheaper) to use Implications for HiEd Examples:  Faculty-created video: Mobius Transformations RevealedArnold & Rogness, University of Minnesota  Student-created video: "What would your ideal education look like?" ELI 2008 Annual Meeting Student Content Showcase

19. 2008 HR: Social Operating Systems  Time to adoption: 4-5 years Applications that bring together information and services based on a single contact Implications for HiEd Examples: Team ORCA at Carnegie Mellon Yahoo Prototype

20. 4Putting the Horizon Report to Work for You

21. Describes new and emerging practices and technology Describes “change forces” The HR is about innovation

22. You can participate; it’s 2.0 Comment on the 2008 Report: http://wp.nmc.org/horizon2008/ Contribute to the ongoing research agenda: http://horizon.nmc.org/wiki/Research_Agenda Contribute to the del.icio.us tagging: http://del.icio.us/tag/hz08+video http://del.icio.us/tag/hz08+virtualcollab http://del.icio.us/tag/hz08+mobile etc. Nominate someone for the Advisory Board http://horizon.nmc.org/wiki/Nominees_for_the_2009_Horizon_Project_Advisory_Board

23. Can jump start the innovation process Offers likely targets for innovation

24. Jump starting Analyze any of the highlighted technologies for its adoption potential at your institution

25. Take any one of the technologies and ask: what is missing for this technology or practice to be implemented at your institution? what kind of additional research needs to be done concerning this technology? what would be the ramifications and opportunities for learning if this technology were adopted? Jump starting

26. Local study groups Virtual study groups K-12 student annotations Flat classroom Follow up on the leads in the HR Participate in the del.icio.us tagging cloud Spawn local HR-like processes

27. 2008 Horizon Report for Australia and Australasia 2008 Horizon Report for Museums

28. Use to support proposals Local funding requests Foundations and funding agencies

29. Strategic planning Medium and longer term horizons Trends and challenges Example sites

30. Distribute locally Senior administrators Key partners Key planners

31. URLs and resources • Download the Report • EDUCAUSE • New Media Consortium • Web version • Horizon Project wiki • Horizon Report methodology • Short list for 2008 Report • Localizations • Australia and Australasia • Museums • K-12 annotation project • Flat Classroom • Horizon Project call to scholarship

32. Thank you! Questions? Comments?