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Maurits Butter (TNO)

European Co-operation in Foresight. Maurits Butter (TNO). Overview presentation. Introduction to EFMN Foresight briefs and culture Cultural effects on doing a foresight Some conclusions. Aim and objectives. Main aim:.

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Maurits Butter (TNO)

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  1. European Co-operationin Foresight Maurits Butter (TNO)

  2. Overview presentation • Introduction to EFMN • Foresight briefs and culture • Cultural effects on doing a foresight • Some conclusions Bled forum

  3. Aim and objectives Main aim: Systematically monitor foresight activities and identify future emergingissues and innovations as input for innovation policy and strategy Objectives: • Foresight monitoring network • Foresight briefs • Foresight mapping • Identify key emerging issues • Annual workshops • Information management infrastructure Bled forum

  4. Approach Mapping Informationtransfer Informationcollection Issueanalysis Briefsproduction Bled forum

  5. Organization Correspondents Collection information and writing of briefs Partners Information gathering & attacting new correspondents Core partners management: TNO Atlantis briefs: ARC-sys mapping: Prest MCST Louis Lengrand & Associates Fraunhofer ISI information:CKA issue analysis: VDI TCP Dialogik Bled forum

  6. Results • Over 150 correspondents • Over 2000 foresight initiatives identified • 160 briefs produced • Four annual issue analysis workshops • Well used website Bled forum

  7. Foresight and culture Bled forum

  8. Poverty and hunger Migration Ethics around technologies Violation of human rights Social equality Clash of cultures Conservation of cultural heritage Social cohesion Nationalism Plurality of values in society Availability of informal care Rethinking privacy Euthanasia and palliative care Care for the elderly Arts, design, fashion Pressures on the educational system Child labor Emancipation of women (Anti) globalization Potential issues Bled forum

  9. Important issues of 160 foresights Bled forum

  10. Cultural foresights • Very limited, only a few briefs specially on cultural issues • US families 2025 • Globalization in the 21st century • 2020 Living in a networked world • Agence future • The future of design Bled forum

  11. Touching cultural aspects • More initiatives touching cultural aspects • Austria's future; • Youth Foresight Germany 2020 • Achieving an ethical future for biomedical R&D • City 2030: Shaping the City of the Future • Migration as a priority challenge • Often connected to innovation topics, being a specific perspective Bled forum

  12. Conclusion • Limited coverage of the issue on culture in the briefs • Mostly covered as an input perspective to the future • But culture is essential to many socio-economic challenges Bled forum

  13. Regions and foresight approaches • Six regions • Europe • Latin America • North America • Asia • Oceania • International Bled forum

  14. Bled forum

  15. Outputs by region Bled forum

  16. Conclusion on analysis • Cultural differences lead to different foresight approaches • Some approaches/methods are highly regional • Some outputs are highly regional • Cultural aspects have strong impact on doing foresight, but little is know about this Bled forum

  17. Some overall conclusions • It is undervalued, as it is a major driver • There are few foresights: Opportunity for the community • Translation from culture to changes/actions is crucial to cultural foresights • Further research is needed to link foresight to the cultural aspects of its environment Bled forum

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