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AFL-CIO. AMERICA’S UNIONS. NOVEMBER 7 2012. AFL-CIO. HART. RESEARCH. A. S. S. O. C. I. A. T. E. S. 2012 Election Night Surveys. Three surveys among 2012 general election voters: 819 voters nationwide, 802 AFL-CIO union members nationwide,
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AFL-CIO AMERICA’S UNIONS NOVEMBER 7 2012
AFL-CIO HART RESEARCH A S S O C I A T E S 2012 Election Night Surveys Three surveys among 2012 general election voters: 819 voters nationwide, 802 AFL-CIO union members nationwide, 827 Working America members in 11 key states, Conducted November 5 – 6, 2012
Methodology Public survey among 819 people who voted in the 2012 election (from voter files) (including 199 cell phone interviews) Member survey among 802 AFL-CIO members nationwide who voted in the 2012 election Working America survey among 827 members in 11 key states. All interviewing conducted November 5-6, 2012 by telephone Margins Of Error:Union members = ±3.5 percentage pointsGeneral Public = ±3.4 percentage pointsWA members = ±4.3 percentage points
The Vote For President Romney Obama All Voters Union Members Working America Members 4
What Message Were Voters Sending? I was trying to send this message with my vote: We should make sure the wealthy start paying their fair share of taxes We should reduce tax rates on taxpayers of all income levels We should protect Medicare and Social Security benefits from cuts We should reduce spending on Medicare and Social Security to bring down the budget deficit. 5
Impact Of Key Issues On American Voters Very important consideration in my vote decisions Somewhat important consideration Net Obama vote/ voters who say this was very important consideration 2009 federal rescue of General Motors and Chrysler 65% +32 Mitt Romney’s record as the CEO of Bain Capital 54% +15 Comments Mitt Romney made about 47% of Americans, which were videotaped at a campaign fundraiser 47% +51 6
Minorities, Democrats More Likely To Experience Voting Problems Waited 30 minutes or more to vote: 24% Obama Voters Romney Voters Whites AfricanAmericans Hispanics 7
Voters Reject GOP Economic Agenda By 64% to 17%, voters say we should maintain Social Security and Medicare benefits, and address the deficit by increasing taxes on the rich, not address the deficit by reducing Social Security and Medicare Benefits. 72% of voters say corporations and wealthy individuals have too much influence in political system. By 55% to 38% voters want to end the Bush tax cuts for incomes over $250,000. 8
Voters’ Priorities For Budget Deal Oppose Favor Support for Possible Budget Proposals Allow Medicare to negotiate with drug companies Continue federal unemployment insurance Provide federal funding to local governments Raise the age Medicare eligibility age Make large reductions in Medicaid benefits Reduce Social Security benefits 9
Key Findings Among Union Members And Working America Members
Union Members’ Vote For President in Ohio Obama Romney 62% 35% Ohio Members Other Barack Obama Mitt Romney Working America Members in Ohio 11
Union Members’ Vote For Senate Democrat Republican 73% 27% Union Members Democrat Republican Working America Members 12
Union Contact (% members who received election info from union through each source)* Contacted at home Contacted online Contacted at work *among active members only
Members Support Unions’ Political Engagement “Workers and their unions need to invest time and money in politics and legislation today to counter the influence that corporations and wealthy special interests have." Agree Disagree
AFL-CIO AMERICA’S UNIONS NOVEMBER 7 2012