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Explore the impact of demographic changes on global futures, from aging workforces to youth bulges. Discover ways to address these challenges through flexibility, urbanization, and globalization.
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POLITICAL DEMOGRAPHY: Demographic Change and Global Futures Jack A. Goldstone December 13 Foreign Policy Research Institute
POPULATION MEGATRENDS • Big emerging markets and the world economy • Aging and shrinking workforces in the developed countries • Youth and Islam: The New face of the developing world • An Urban, not rural, world
Increase in Older Folks in the US Population in Millions
Percentage of Population under 15 years old, 2005 Red: 40+ Pink: 30-39 Light Blue: 20-29 Dark Blue: <20
The Youth Surge in the Middle East(Ages 15-29) Millions Youth 0.43 0.37 0.40 0.53 Bulge
What are the Solutions? • FLEXIBILITY • Retirement /Work/Education • Immigration and Emigration • Business start-up and innovation to find Market-based solutions • MORE GLOBALIZATION • Open Trade and Human Exchange, New Urbanism • Have faith in European/Liberal Values • Globalization of Education!
What are We Doing About it? • Investing in Education? No. • Investing in Basic Research? No. • Improving Energy Grid/Efficiency? No. • Improving attraction to top migrants? No. • Pulling together, sharing sacrifice? NO, NO, NO. • Complaining about taxes, government, regulation? YES, YES, YES.