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Lost in transition? NEETS at a local level Neil Lee The Work Foundation

Lost in transition? NEETS at a local level Neil Lee The Work Foundation. Summary. Long-term changes in the economy weighted against young people Those who are NEET are often concentrated in particular places Services for NEETS are provided at a local level Some evidence of best practice.

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Lost in transition? NEETS at a local level Neil Lee The Work Foundation

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  1. Lost in transition? NEETS at a local levelNeil LeeThe Work Foundation

  2. Summary • Long-term changes in the economy weighted against young people • Those who are NEET are often concentrated in particular places • Services for NEETS are provided at a local level • Some evidence of best practice

  3. The slow rise of NEET levels Source: DFES Quarterly Release, Q3 2011

  4. How have NEETS changed? • The proportion of NEETs with no qualifications has declined but remains significant (27 percent in 2007) • However, NEETS increasingly well-qualified - before the recession more than one-fifth had A-level qualifications or above • More than one-fifth of NEETs report a disability • There has been growing incidence of mental health problems among NEETs • Work experience share declining

  5. Longer-term labour market change Data: Labour Force Survey. Source: Sissons, Jones & Lee

  6. Churn amongst NEETS • NEETs change over time • Most NEET young people engage with education / training • Of those NEET at 16, 24% go into education, 30% into work and 47% stay NEET next year (Wolf)

  7. The geography of NEET young people

  8. Regional NEET rates in the recession Source: DFES Quarterly Release

  9. Off the map? • Identified areas with high / low NEET levels in 2009 / 10 • Less affluent cities in the North, Scotland, Wales, Midlands • Labour market matters – but personal characteristics vital

  10. 16 – 18 NEET • Connexions data for England • Urban ‘northern belt’, North East, East Highest levels: • Knowsley (11.4%) • Portsmouth (11.3%) • Redcar& Cleveland (10.0%)

  11. National problems • Demand side • Changing industrial structure • Recession • Longer term problems with economy • Supply side • Long tail of poorly qualified • Vocational qualifications (being ‘trimmed’) • Numeracy / literacy • Lack of meaningful work experience

  12. Local difficulties • Local issues: • Fragmented services • Lack of ownership (post 19) • Lack of business engagement • Social capital effects • Local job search (and presumably education) • Unclear ‘pathways’

  13. Pathways operate at a local level • Better coordination of services (clear ‘pathways’) – • Participation strategy – still a concern • Role for national, local gov and VS • Focus on prevention • Early educational attainment • Targeted case management (ThinkForward) • Grow best provision / information on what works

  14. Conclusions • Crucial moment: address long-term problems alongside short term crisis • Localism agenda may help guide pathways for young people • Particularly important for those who do less well at school • But requires strong labour demand

  15. Neil LeeThe Work Foundationnlee@theworkfoundation.com

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