This publication is supported by NATO Scientific Division in the framework of

1. C E Center of Excellence in Operational Analyses Bulgarian Academy of Sciences O A Joint Training, Simulation&Analyses Center as Computer-Assisted Exercises Environment for Crises Management/JTSAC-CM/ This publication is supported by NATO Scientific Division in the framework of Science for Peace Program – Project SfP 981149 (2005-2007) Center of Excellence in Operational Analyses (http://www.gcmarshall.bg/sfp981149) Nikolay Tomov NATO MSG-049 WORKSHOP ON EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLANNNG & TRAINING Prague 22 - 23 June 2006

2. C E O A Content • What is the Base we rely on? • NATO SfP 981149 - Center of Excellence in Operational Analyses • EU TACOM SEE-2006 • CAX General Architecture • JTSAC-CM Functional Elements: • White Cell • IEMS Operational Center • IEMS Analytical Cell • IEMS Communications • Web Information System and Lessons Learned Process • Development&Management • Conclusions

3. C E O A What is the Base we rely on? • NATO Project SFP 981149 “Operations Research Support to Force and Operations Planning in the New Security Environment” • Completed Research Projects under Working Programme 2004-2005 of the Science Coordination Committee with the Standing Committee for Protection of the Population against Natural Disasters, Emergencies and Catastrophies: • Study for Analysis and Assessment of the System for Protection of Population and Response in Emergencies “White Paper on Civil Protection of the Republic of Bulgaria • Analyses and Adaptation of Models from NATO NC3A and European Community and NATO Countries for Analysis, Assessment, Decision-making, Planning , Crisis Management and System Ensuring for Computer Assisted Exercises on National and Regional Level (South-East Europe and Black Sea Region Countries) • Research for the Operative Application of Modules for Field Management of Crisis and Development of a Demonstration Plan • Architecture for Integration of the Information Systems for Control in Crisis Situations – Stationary and on the Field • Methodology for modeling, analysis of the critical infrastructure, identification of interdependences, assessment of risk and vulnerabilities for capability defense planning • European Union Directorate General Environment “Terrorist Act Consequences Management in South-East Europe” 2006 – EU TACOM SEE-2006

4. NATO SfP981149 Center of Excellence in Operational Analyses C E O A President Parliament Government Security Council EU-MIC Civil Protection MoD MoI EADRCC Center of Excellence in OA Crisis management Customers Partners Institutes of BAS / Universities Defense Industry / Other Industries

5. Where Center of Excellence in OA is situated in the Process of CD&E for Security Sector Transformation Transformation Process … => C E O A Concept Development Experimentation Technology Demonstration Aquisition Center of Excellence in OA Transformation Offices Acquisition Offices Training / CAX Force Deployment Offices Force Planning Offices Deployed Operations

6. C E O A Provided services • System analyses / process reengineering • Scenario development and CAX support • Enterprise / C4 Architecture Development • Capabilities planning support • Acquisition planning and acquisition projects management • Training in operational analyses and architecture development / management • Project management support

7. C E O A EU TACOM SEE - 2006 The overall objective of the exercise EU TACOM-SEE 2006 is the improved response capacity and co-ordination of civil protection structures, experts and intervention teams by ensuring compatibility and complementary in their assistance to a requesting country in the context of the Civil Protection Community Mechanism. Some of the general objectives of the Exercise: • Within the Community Mechanism, verified and improved common basis of understanding concerning the tasks, procedures and co-operation during international civil protection assistance interventions; • Enhanced operational cooperation between the participating countries Civil Protection entities; • Tested crisis management system in Bulgaria by means of a full-scale exercise and improved operational coordination between central, regional, local authorities and relevant civil protection structures via Computer-assisted exercise (CAX); • The beneficiary and partners will seek for the cross-point between the fight against international terrorism and “traditional” civil protection. This is a cross-point of great conceptual, institutional and technological importance in the context of the new-evolved Homeland, Civil and Societal security concepts.

8. C E O A EU TACOM SEE-2006 General Scenario • A “dirty bomb” explosion in a bus - segments of bars with waste nuclear fuel with cesium Cs-137 in proximity of a stadium in Plovdiv (just before the start of a football match – about 15 000 people are present) • Terrorist act in the Vratza theatre with biological agent Anthrax • Scenario for the town of Montana: • Terrorist act with a car-bomb at the parking lot of “International” hotel • Second terrorist act with a car-bomb at the chemical plant “Neochim” • Series of bomb attacks at the base of an active landslide on the left slope of “Ogosta” dam near Montana. High tidal wave, activization of the landslide and black oil flood in “Ogosta” dam

9. C E O A End - User Planning and Costing Scenario Development Scenario Simulation Mapping in GIS the Scenario Development Lessons Learned Analysis Documentation of Officials’ acts Decision making and responds of Officials CAX General Architecture

10. JTSAC-CM Architecture C E O A Planning& Reporting Cell PR/ Media Cell Exercise Control Cell Briefing Cell Scenario Development Cell Management Center Exercise Simulation Center - White Cell VIP Cell Administrative Team Simulation Cell Lessons Learned Cell Operations Cell Comms Cell Control Center WM Universal Communics WM Field Emergency Operations Center National Training Emergency Operations Center Backbone Connection WM Video Wireless Module Analytical Cell Processing Cell

11. C E O A JTSAC Functional Elements White Cell IEMS EU, NATO, UN / MIC, EADRCC, OCHA Control Cell Scenario Development Ministries: MoEM, MoI, MoD, MH, MoEW, MoE, MoAF National Media, NGOs, other agencies Scenario Simulation Emerg calls Alerting system National EOC Meteorological info MHS IDS WIS Analy- tical cell Comms cell IEMS Hydrological info Functional areas incl. PR Seismological info Planning, Costing, Reporting District EOC / LEMA MHS/IDS/WIS Briefing room PR room VIP room White Cell WIS/LL Field EOC MHS/IDS/WIS

12. C E O A White Cell • Control of the exercise /server/: • Web-based operative info-sharing • System for exchange and archiving of messages /Message Handling System/ • System for visualization of information /Integrated Display System/ • Intelligent Scenario Computer Interface Program /I-SCIP/ • Scenario development: • Static script • Dynamic script • Module for Assessment of Changes in the Critical Infrastructure • Web-based information system for Lessons Learned • Monitoring and Forecast Center • Weather, Seismology, Hydrology information • Alerting and Emergency Call Center for Crisis Situations

13. C E O A White Cellas a Test Lab

14. C E O A White Cell as a White Cell

15. C E O A Web Information System NEMA General public International Observers LEMA (Plovdiv) LEMA (Montana) LEMA (Vratza) WIS public WIS exercise Situational DB WIS Lessons Learned Meteo- Info Briefings/ Releases DMS models Results Alerting Seismo- Info Decisions/ Reports Exercise Life Cycle Process Audio/Video Info Hydro- Info Supporting Documents Software Documentation Net Threats Detection Field- info

16. C E O A Lessons LearnedProcess • Collection of data flow during the exercise in data base and providing access to them via web system • Verification of data /review for applicability, etc./ • Data storage • Data analysis: • Automatic /generation of statistical indexes/ • Expert /experience based/ • Dissemination to the users concerned • Transforming of Information to Knowledge • Knowledge storage in Lessons Learned Repository

17. C E O A IEMS Operational Center (National Training Crisis Management Cell)

18. C E O A IEMS Communications • External Communications Center • Other agencies • NATO, EU, UN, OSCE • Countries in the region • Network Control Center (including Information Assurance and MalWare Protection)

19. C E O A IEMS Analytical Cell • Model for Prognoses and Management of Material Supplies during Crisis • Software for Management of Network Resource Systems with Application to Critical Infrastructure Assessment • A Dynamic Evacuation Software Model • Model for Saving Suffer People after Terrorist Attacks • General Control Interface Program of Analytical Center

20. C E O A WG7 WG1 Resources management and public relations General Management Costing and analyses Planning and PR WG2 WG3 WG4 WG5 Scenario Documentation Lessons learned Certification Briefings Simulation and scenario development Mathematical and software support CAX configuration JTSAC architecture Communications Emergency calls Alerting Field C2 Center WG6 Administrative services Development&Management

21. C E O A Conclusions • Academic Support to Transformation of the Security Sector to Integrated Network of Organizations • Key Partner in Decision Making and CDE/ATD for Security Sector Transformation • Provide a transparent, network enabled, knowledge based Research & Technology organization • JTSAC-CM - main tool for CAX support in: • Change management - planning, costing, performance measurement, reporting • Knowledge management: scenario development, experimentation, training, knowledge acquisition • Development of Regional JTSAC – Crises Management as Bulgarian Contribution to NATO/EU/US efforts in SEE in the Area of Emergency Management