1 / 10

Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis

Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis. From Technology-Driven Roadmapping towards Sustainability-Oriented Roadmapping: Development and Application of an Integrated Method Presenter: Dr. Edgar Göll Authors: L. Erdmann; S. Behrendt

lucas-craig
Download Presentation

Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis From Technology-Driven Roadmapping towards Sustainability-Oriented Roadmapping: Development and Application of an Integrated Method Presenter: Dr. Edgar GöllAuthors: L. Erdmann; S. Behrendt Seville 28-29 September 2006

  2. IZTInstitute für Futures Studies and Technology Assessment Schopenhauerstr. 26 D - 14129 B e r l i n www.izt.de

  3. The Integrated Roadmap acknowledges the following aspects: • Multiple dimensions of sustainable development are simultaneously focused in the innovation process. • The perspective is shifted from technological feasibility to the potential contribution of technologies to meet socio-economic trends and needs. • Stakeholders, especially experts, customers and users, are integrated into the roadmapping process. • Unintended side effects of a technology for companies, users and society are dealt with. • Multiple futures and Wild Cards are investigated.

  4. Case Study “Integrated Roadmap Automation 2015+” German Electrical and Electronic Manufacturers Association (ZVEI) commissioned a project to IZT to develop a roadmap for the automation industry in Germany (time horizon 2015) Aims of the Roadmap: • demonstrating the development perspectives of automation with the background of future customers’ demands • identifying technological contributions to deal with socio-economic trends and social future challenges • delivering strategic knowledge for the automation industry sector and for the activities of ZVEI

  5. The Integrated Roadmapping Methodology Step 1: Scoping – Determination of the Search Scheme Step 2: Forecasting - Identification of trends and impact assessment Step 3: Backcasting – Breakdown of different futures Step 4: Derivation of the Roadmap Step 5: Transfer

  6. General Recommendations: “Do’s and Don’ts” (1) • Involve an Independent Roadmapping Facilitator with Relevant Abilities in Sustainability Research • Consider the Participation of other External Stakeholders Carefully • Activate Engaged Sector Experts and High-Level Decision Makers

  7. General Recommendations: “Do’s and Don’ts” (2) • Shift the Technology Perspective: From the Developers to the Users • Focus on Sustainability-Relevant Areas • Seek Multiple Perspectives and Broad Empirical Input

  8. General Recommendations: “Do’s and Don’ts” (3) • How to Deal with Future Uncertainties - Pictures of the Future and Wild Cards • Consider Side-Effects • Stimulate Communication by Various Means of Visualisation • Transfer Results Tailored to Target Groups Actively

More Related