110 likes | 300 Views
Emerging Trends in Homeland Security and Emergency Management. Mike Sharon Chief, Operational Planning Branch FEMA Region III. Our Environment:. V olatile U ncertain C omplex A mbiguous. Forces of Change. Social and Technological Environmental Economic and Political.
E N D
Emerging Trends in Homeland Security and Emergency Management Mike Sharon Chief, Operational Planning Branch FEMA Region III
Our Environment: Volatile Uncertain Complex Ambiguous
Forces of Change • Social and Technological • Environmental • Economic and Political Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Social and Technological • Universal Access to and Use of Information • Technological Innovation and Dependency • Changing Role of the Individual • Shifting U.S. Demographics Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Environmental • Climate Change Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Economic and Political • Global Interdependencies/Globalization • Government Budgets • Critical Infrastructure • Evolving Terrorist Threat Source: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Recipes for Change • “Iron Chef” new, innovative and challenging • “Betty Crocker” classics that don’t go out of style
Waves of the Future • Practice omni-directional knowledge sharing • Proactively engage business in HLS and EM and solicit business contributions to policy development • Advanced risk modeling to assess complex interactions among infrastructure and hazards • Address “hidden” vulnerabilities in supply chains • Infuse HLS/EM principles and life skills across the educational experience Adapted from: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Golden Oldies • Prepare for complex social, cultural and linguistic demographics • Leverage volunteer capabilities throughout HLS and EM • Empower individuals, neighborhoods, communities • Influence development of emerging technologies to support HLS and EM • Flexible frameworks for surge and interoperability Adapted from: “Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030: Forging Strategic Action In an Age of Uncertainty.” FEMA Strategic Foresight Initiative, January 2012. http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=4995
Thank you for your attention! Mike Sharon Chief, Operational Planning Branch FEMA Region III michael.sharon@fema.dhs.gov (215) 931-5641