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The Role of Military in Climate. Stephen O. Andersen & K. Madhava Sarma Montreal Protocol Technology and Economic Assessment Panel Durwood Zaelke International Network for Environmental Compliance & Enforcement 29 October 2009. IES - Climate Change & Security at Copenhagen - III
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The Role of Military in Climate Stephen O. Andersen & K. Madhava Sarma Montreal Protocol Technology and Economic Assessment Panel Durwood Zaelke International Network for Environmental Compliance & Enforcement 29 October 2009 IES - Climate Change & Security at Copenhagen - III Climate Change: The Role of the Military Washington, D.C., 29 October 2009
Organizations of this WorkshopAre Beacons to Copenhagen Honor to be Part of this Team Charting a New Course for Security Networked and Confident
Climate Change Reality • Faster than Predicted: UK Met 4C Study • Linear and Non-Linear • Abrupt and Irreversible • Tipping Points • Committed Warming • The Only Uncertainty: When
PNAS Published online October 12, 2009, doi:10.1073/pnas.0902568106; www.pnas.org Reducing Abrupt Climate Change Risk Using The Montreal Protocol And Other Regulatory Actions To Complement Cuts In CO2 Emissions Mario Molina, Durwood Zaelke, K. Madhava Sarma, Stephen O. Andersen, Veerabhadran Ramanathan and Donald Kaniaru
Molina, Zaelke, Andersen, et al. 2009 • ~ 0.76 Realized • 0.5 Lagged in oceans • 1.1 Masked
Molina, Zaelke, Andersen et al.National Academy of Sciences • Without Fast Action Impacts Are Certain • Himalayas & Arctic First to Go • Need Fast Action, including non-CO2 50%: • Black Carbon, HFCs, Tropospheric Ozone & Methane • 40 yr Delay • Help Avert Disaster as CO2 Reductions Kick-in • Military Organizations Key Part of the Solutions
MP = Best Climate Treatyclimate mitigation of HFCs & ODSs /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ 171 Gt CO2e 195 Gt CO2e (net of 135) (11 Gt CO2e/yr.) 30-36 Gt CO2e 12-13 Gt CO2e ODS Banks Developed Countries ODS Banks Developing Countries 4-5 Gt CO2e 14 -18 Gt CO2e HCFC Phase Out Developing Countries 1.5 Gt CO2e 1 Gt CO2e/yr HFC Phase-out by 2050 HCFC Phase-out & Banks Kyoto Protocol Objective 2008-2012 Current CDM Pipeline Montreal Protocol Mitigation 1990-2010
Military Leadership inEnvironmental Protection National Vision & Leadership Scientific Expeditions & Data Collection Atmospheric & Oceanographic Research Engineering Centers of Excellence Facilities, Operations, & Green Procurement
Committed Military Leadership • Technology Leadership • Stewardship and Destruction of Surplus ODSs, HFCs, SF6, and PFCs • Military Tiger Teams – confident & decisive • Energy Security • Self-Sustaining Energy at the Battlefront • Embrace Climate & Global National Security • Stop Climate Change, at all Costs
You are Invited to Join & Support Organizations Featured in Climate Leadership Book
THE IMPORTANCE OF MILITARY ORGANISATIONSTO CLIMATE PROTECTION
Contact Information Stephen O. Andersen SOliverAndersen@aol.com K. Madhava Sarma Sarma_Madhava@yahoo.com Durwood Zaelke Zaelke@INECE.org