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WAVE Update December 1, 2002. Atherothrombosis. Ruptured Carotid Artery Plaque with Thrombus. 3R. HIGH INTENSITY INR 2.8-4.8 (No Aspirin) n=10,000. 0.78. Mortality. 0.58. MI. 0.43. TEC. 0.57. Combined. Odds Ratio. 0.0. 0.5. 1.0. 1.5. Warfarin Better. Control Better.
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Atherothrombosis Ruptured Carotid Artery Plaque with Thrombus 3R
HIGH INTENSITY INR 2.8-4.8 (No Aspirin)n=10,000 0.78 Mortality 0.58 MI 0.43 TEC 0.57 Combined Odds Ratio 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Warfarin Better Control Better Odds Ratio & 95% CI Limits Anand, Yusuf JAMA 1999
LOW INTENSITY : INR 1.5n=10,463 1.03 Mortality 1.06 MI 1.28 Stroke 0.91 Combined 1.29 Major Bleed Odds Ratio 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Favours Warfarin Favours Control Odds Ratio & 95% CI Limits Anand, Yusuf JAMA1999
MODERATE INTENSITY: INR 2-3 WITH ASPIRIN: n=480 0.58 Mortality 0.55 MI 0.13 Stroke 0.43 Combined Odds Ratio 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Warfarin Better Control Better Odds Ratio & 95% CI Limits Anand, Yusuf JAMA1999
Major Bleeding Rates in Patients with Vascular Disease A W&A A W&A A W A W C W N Patients 10,463 480 2,112 1,747 9,527 Intensity • Low • Moderate • High INR=1.5 INR=2 - 3 INR=2.8 - 4.8 with Aspirin vs. Aspirin vs. Control Anand, Yusuf JAMA 1999
Summary Slide • APRICOT - 2
APRICOT - 2 • 308 AMI patients with ST-elevation • All received thrombolytic therapy • Angiography post TT and if artery patent repeat at 3 months • Randomized to ASA or ASA and warfarin • Endpoint: Re-occlusion at 3 months. Circulation 2002;106:659-665
APRICOT-2 study Circulation 2002;106:659-665
ASPECT-2 STUDY • Randomized open label study • 999 patients with acute MI or unstable angina • ST-elevation MI 46% • Aspirin 80 mg • Coumadin – INR 3.0-4.0 (Mean 3.2) • Aspirin 80 mg/Coumadin – INR 2.0-2.5 (Mean 2.4) • Mean follow-up 1 year • Myocardial infarction, stroke or death Van es et al, Lancet 2002; 360:109
ASPIRIN AND COUMADIN AFTER ACUTE CORONARY SYNDROMES (ASPECT-2 STUDY) Aspirin Coumadin Aspirin/Coumadin (n=336) (n=325) (n=332) Composite 28 (8%) 27 (5%) 15 (5%) Death 15 (4%) 4 (1%) 9 (3%) MI 14 (4%) 13 (4%) 10 (3%) Major Haem 3 (1%) 3 (1%) 7 (2%) Minor Haem 16 (5%) 26 (8%) 50 (15%) Van es et al, Lancet 2002; 360:109
ASPECT-2 • Primary endpoint • re-MI • death • stroke Mortality Lancet 2002:360:109-113
WARFARIN, ASPIRIN OR BOTH AFTER MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION (WARIS II) • Randomized multicentre triaql • 3630 patients with acute MI • 60% ST-elevation MI • Warfarin INR 2.8-4.2 • Aspirin 160 mg/day • Aspirin 75 mg/day/Warfarin INR 2.0-2.5 • Mean follow-up four years • Death, non-fatal MI, TE, Stroke Hurlen et al, NEJM 2002; 347:969
WARIS II: Primary endpoint WARIS-II MAIN RESULTS WARIS II W+A vs A=0.71; 0.001 W+A vs W=0.87; P=0.18 Arnesen et al. Presented at the XXIII Congress of the European Society of Cardiology. Sep 2, 2001
Warfarin, aspirin, or both after Myocardial Infarction ( WARIS II) Hurlen et al, N Engl J Med 2002:347 Composite - Death - Non fatal Re-MI - T/E stroke
WARIS II: Major and minor bleeding events WARIS-II BLEEDING WARIS II Arnesen et al. Presented at the XXIII Congress of the European Society of Cardiology. Sep 2, 2001
Oral Anticoagulants for Local Disease • 831 patients post peripheral bypass surgery • Warfarin INR: 1.4 to 2.8 + 325 mg/day vs Aspirin 325 mg/day • 133 deaths in the WASA group (31.8%) vs 95 deaths in the ASA group (23.0%) • Risk ratio = 1.41; (1.09 to 1.84; P =.0001) • Major bleeding occurred in the WASA group (WASA, n = 35; ASA, n = 15; P =.02). Johnson WB Vascular Sugery 2002
Conclusions • Clear effect of oral anticoagulants (without aspirin) at high intensity in reducing Death, Ischemic Stroke, and MI, with an increase in major bleeds • No apparent effect of oral anticoagulants (with aspirin) at low intensity (INR < 1.5) in reduction of Death, MI and Ischemic Stroke • Promising results of moderate intensity warfarin (with aspirin) – ASPECT-2, APRICOT-2, WARIS-2
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 ASA better Control better Dose-Response Relationship with Aspirin ASA dose % odds reduction 500–1500 mg daily 160–325 mg daily 75–150 mg daily < 75 mg daily Any ASA dose23% ±2 (p < 0.0001) CURE: ASA GroupBleeds> 200 mg 4.02 %100-200 mg 2.27%< 100 mg 2.03% N ~ 60,000 Antithrombotic Trialists’ Collaboration BMJ 324: 71, 2002
CURE Major/Life Threatening BleedDifferent ASA Doses
Optimal Aspirin Dose • Aspirin 81mg – 325mg daily for all patients unless there is a contraindication • Equal Efficacy and Better safety with the lower dose
WAVE – Patients in run-in Nov. 30/02
WAVE- Fate of Patients N=1754 N=188 1492 Randomized 739 Aspirin 753 Warfarin 7 using warfarin
WAVE BASELINE 3 Nov. 30/02
WAVE Medication Use Nov. 30/02
WAVE Risk Factors Nov. 30/02
WAVE Baseline 2 Nov. 30/02
WAVE- Compliance > 80% therapeutic or supra - 16% Subtherapeutic No 30/02
WAVE – Median INR 35 day 6 mo. 12 mo. 18 mo. 24 mo. Nov 30/02
Rationale to Extend Follow-up in WAVE • Extend follow-up in patients who have reached 2.5 years of follow-up • Events are ACCRUED in a linear fashion there is no plateau Events Time
WAVE Future • Canada must Randomize 1000 patients by June 2003 • Extend Follow-up in some patients from 2.5 to 2.5 years • Encourage Patients to stick with study • Minimize Discontinuations from warfarin and maximize compliance