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Improve and sustain regional warning systems across climate extremes, variability, and change by making early warning systems locally relevant. Emphasize the importance of risk assessment, data sharing, quantifying thresholds, and capacity building. Recommend greater collaboration, data management, and training to enhance forecasting capacity.
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What else is needed to improve and sustain regional warning systems across climate extremes, variability and change? Making early warning systems locally relevant RISK ASSESSMENT
1. We need information that we can understand and incorporate in our decision making RELEVANCE • Risk related to climate variability and change are regional but also country and sector specific. • Also intra-sector specific. • Therefore risk assessments make use of region-specific, country-specific and sector-specific information.
2. We do not like to share our data or information on what we are doing • Access to climate or sector data important to risk assessment • Appreciation of the importance of sharing data within and across countries Identify risks/vulnerabilities Quantifying thresholds Understand/Quantify link between the climate & risk Models: Weather/ Climate/ Sector Incorporate forecasts or projections
2. We do not like to share our data or information on what we are doing RECOMMENDATION • Greater attention to the management of data and information for the region • Attention to National Data Management Structures • Greater appreciation and use of regional institutions • CIMH • Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre • These should have links to other organizations/institutions across the Caribbean involved in climate related activities • Greater networking & collaboration within region
3. We are being asked to do more with the same resources • Meteorological Services are called upon to: - - - provide more data products - translate data into information - learn to use more tools and models that will improve forecasting capacity RECOMMENDATION • Greater attention to allocating funds into building capacity and training additional personnel • This will improve our early warning systems and our ability to conduct risk assessments. • Re-thinking of current risk assessments for the region. Employ local on consultants so that more assessments can be done at a more sustainable level. Expand ability for other agencies (beyond an ODPEM and National Water Resources) to conduct assessments for their sector.
4. It is difficult to convince politicians. Let’s convince the voters • Need to convince stakeholders of the usefulness of early warning systems. • Water, agriculture, health, etc • Communities are becoming more aware of the impact of climate variability on their livelihoods
A ShiftWorking Examples: Long Term Planning • Communities: Woodford, St. Andrew and Cascade, Portland • Livelihood: Largely farming • Exposures: • Heavy rainfall events => erosion, crop loss, declining soil fertility • Droughts => erosion, crop loss • Higher temperatures => low production • Approach (Community Based Adaptation Small Grants Programme, UNDP): • Piloted green-house farming • Change in Planting Practices • Two Communities: Portland Bight (Hellshire, Old Harbour & Salt River) and Bunkers Hill, Trelawny