90 likes | 233 Views
Aviation Warm Season Stats 2012 Overview. 2012 Warm Season. Overall for the 6 months (April-September) - POD .586 FAR .452 CSI .395 ( GPRA POD .65 FAR .40 ) For each site: BTV .489 .413 MPV .688 .420 MSS .511 .469
E N D
2012 Warm Season • Overall for the 6 months (April-September) - POD .586 FAR .452 CSI .395 (GPRA POD .65 FAR .40) For each site: BTV .489 .413 MPV .688 .420 MSS .511 .469 SLK .619 .472 RUT .454 .453 PBG .462 .532 2013 GPRAPOD .65 FAR .38
2012 Warm Season cont’d • Wx elements at each forecast site: -TRW and FG POD/FAR BTV .293/.645 .538/.728 MPV .351/.712 .696/.547 MSS .270/.841 .530/.482 SLK -----/------ .636/.495 RUT .313/.801 -----/1.000 PBG .169/.966 .594/.722
2012 Warm Season cont’d • For each time issuance: PODFAR 00z .426 .473 06z .681 .460 12z .545 .339 18z .525 .538
2012 Warm Season cont’d • Wx elements for each Time Issuance: -TRW and FG POD/FAR 00z .269/.636 .469/.678 06z .020/.923 .732/.565 12z .423/.705 .532/.630 18z .352/.823 .528/.688
2012 Warm Season cont’d • Overall numbers per month: -all sites/all time issuances POD FAR CSI April .590 .381 .433 May .613 .412 .429 June .485 .558 .301 July .459 .586 .278 August .607 .514 .370 September .664 .349 .490
2012 Warm Season cont’d • Weather element per Month: -all sites/all time issuances TRW(POD/FAR) FG(POD/FAR) April -----/1.000 .409/.611 May .578/.724 .609/.628 June .138/.872 .598/.719 July .189/.644 .596/.651 August .315/.848 .714/.503 September .365/.644 .684/.582
Finally… • To reinforce from John’s presentation for T-storm Best Practices…here is a snapshot of the 0-3hr Significant Wx for Thunderstorms:
And… • And a snapshot from the 3-6hr period: • Comparing the 2 timeframes 0-3hr vs. 3-6hr, we are getting more(not by much) in the shorter timeframe versus after 3 hrs. Don’t put in after 2-3hrs!!! And wait for the “whites of the eyes” in the 0-3hrs timeframe because still put in too much.