130 likes | 330 Views
Impacts of ocean acidification on mollusk fisheries and coral reefs. Scott Doney & Sarah Cooley Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution center for Climate and Energy Decision Making (CEDM) 2012. Ocean Acidification. Observed trends -rising seawater CO 2 -declining pH & carbonate saturation.
E N D
Impacts of ocean acidification on mollusk fisheries and coral reefs Scott Doney & Sarah Cooley Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution center for Climate and Energy Decision Making (CEDM) 2012
Ocean Acidification Observed trends -rising seawater CO2 -declining pH & carbonate saturation Doney et al. Ann. Rev. Mar. Sci. 2009 Dore et al. PNAS 2009
Marine Life Susceptible to Ocean Acidification -Reduced shell formation -Habitat loss -Less available prey New biological effects still being discovered
Social & Economic Impacts • -Marine fisheries & aquaculture • food supply • jobs, livelihoods & trade • -Coral reefs • reef fisheries • tourism • shoreline protection • -Globally, largest impacts may be on developing island and coastal nations Cooley, Kite-Powell, and Doney Oceanography (2009) Cooley & Doney, Environmental Research Letters (2009)
Least adaptable Most adaptable Vulnerability to Ocean Acidification Index Based on Mollusk Fisheries • -Exposure • chemistry change • -Sensitivity • mollusk fisheries • seafood imports • protein supply • -Adaptive capacity • per capita GNP Protein insufficient Mollusks ≥ 1% of protein Both Net importers Net exporters Cooley, Lucey, Kite-Powell, & Doney, Fish & Fisheries, 2012
Modeling Coupled Natural-Human Systems Atlantic Sea Scallop Integrated Assessment Model Howarth figure Collaboration with J. Hare & D. Hart, NOAA/NMFS
South Florida Coral Reef Modeling Modeled Aragonite Saturation Aragonite Saturation Trend
Summary Points • -Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide causes well-understood changes in seawater chemistry • -Acidification threatens coral reefs & shellfish • -Human impacts through impaired fisheries, tourism & coastal protection • -Adaptation strategies: • Ocean monitoring networks • Reduce other human stresses on ocean • Scientist-stakeholder partnerships • Coupled natural-human system models Special Thanks To: Alan Barton, William Cheung, Charlie Colgan, Richard Feely, Hauke Kite-Powell & Noelle Lucey
In Gulf of Mexico CESM 1.0 20th Century transient run with prescribed CO2 and fully coupled climate
South Florida Field Observations Coral Reefs Days Hofmann PLoS 2011 Ongoing R/V Gordon Gunter Data Wanninkhof et al. NOAA/AOML http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/ocd/gcc/rvgunter_introduction.php
Ocean Acidification H+ + CO3 2- H+ + HCO3 HCO3 - - CO2 + CO3 + H2O 2- CO2 + H2O H2CO3 2HCO3 - 2000 30% acidity 16% [CO3 ] [CO2] CO3 2− 50 300 > < 8.2 40 240 2100 pH − − − − 100−150% 8.1 30 180 50% 2− pH μmol kg−1 8.0 20 120 [CO3 ] 7.9 2− 10 60 CO2(aq) 0 0 7.8 1800 1900 2000 2100 Year Wolf-Gladrow et al. (1999)