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Today's lecture. the two stories of 1980s Cold War: confrontation and negotiationsthis lecture discusses the second storynew thinking in Soviet foreign policy and the US responseReagan-Gorbachev diplomacy 1985-1988the contents and goals of the new d
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1. 4. lecture: Ending the Cold War - New Détente 1985–1989 The End of the Cold War 1978-1991
Juhana Aunesluoma
Lecturer in Contemporary History
Mondays, 29 October- 3 December 2007, 12-14 pm
Unioninkatu 35, Lecture room
University of Helsinki
www.valt.helsinki.fi/blogs/jauneslu/endofcoldwar.htm
2. Today’s lecture the two stories of 1980s Cold War: confrontation and negotiations
this lecture discusses the second story
new thinking in Soviet foreign policy and the US response
Reagan-Gorbachev diplomacy 1985-1988
the contents and goals of the new détente
European perspectives
introducing the debate on the new détente
3. Debating the new détente Raymond Garthoff
US reluctance to go along with new détente, the importance of Gorbachev and his genuine conviction to end the arms race and superpower rivarly
John Lewis Gaddis, Peter Schweizer
Reagan drove the Soviets to change their line; first hard line, then allowing a change through dialogue and negotiation
Geir Lundestad
do not underestimate the role of the Europeans
Archie Brown, Vladislav Zubok: Gorby, Gorby!
Brown: the idealistic nature of Gorbachev’s foreign policy
4. Events Geneva summit Nov 1985
first meeting between Reagan and Gorbachev, restoration of dialogue
Reykjavik summit Oct 1986
discussions opened on nuclear disarmament
Washington summit Dec 1987
INF treaty
Gorbachev’s UN address Dec 1988
announcing massive cuts in conventional military forces
Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan 1988-89
upheavals begin in Eastern Europe autumn 1989
the Malta summit Dec 1989
”end of the cold war”
5. Explaining foreign policy change economic constraints
Soviet relative decline
ideational changes
new thinking in Moscow, ideological hard-liners in Washington
changes in the international system
the end of the bipolar structure, the significance of other powers and power centres
agency
significance of personalities and their interaction
outcomes of military conflicts
the Afghanistan factor
the burden caused by the arms race
arms buildup, technological change, negative economic effects
6. Gorbachev’s foreign policy foreign policy the clearest and most consistent part in Gorbachev’s thinking
final abandonment of the ideologically driven Soviet foreign policy
marxist-leninist notion of international politics was based on class struggle leading to inevitable and mortal conflict
Gorbachev introduced a new concept of a conflict free, interdependent international system
an ambitious nuclear disarmament strategy
unilateral concessions
Gorbachev’s goal was to end the Cold War, and revitalize the Soviet Union
strategy how to achieve this evolved over time
foreign minister Eduard Shevardnadze an important ally
7. Motivations what drove Gorbachev?
domestic economic constraints?
new thinking and ideas?
geopolitical and geostrategic challenges from outside?
domestic power struggles?
new thinking on nuclear weapons?
links between the foreign policy and domestic reforms and conditions
Garthoff: separate matters
most others: connected one way or another
8. Reagan-Gorbatchev diplomacy phases
restoration of dialogue 1985-86
opening talks on arms reductions 1986
escalation of détente 1987-88
reaping the harvest 1989
issues
nuclear arms disarmament talks
conventional arms control negotiations
the importance of personalities
new, critical thinking about nuclear weapons
willingness for serious dialogue
a complete change of tone in Reagan’s rhetoric in 1984
9. Nuclear and military issues Gorbachev was willing to make unilateral concessions
the US drove a hard bargain
Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty Dec. 1987
eliminated medium-range missiles in Europe
Conventional Forces in Europe treaty (CFE) Nov. 1990
elimination of Cold War military structures
Strategic Arms Reduction treaty (START) July 1991
reduced the US nuclear arsenal by 25 % and the Soviet by 30 %
10. The Europeans the attraction of the dynamic model of development in Western Europe
economic growth, welfare policies
the development of the European community
European ostpolitik and bridge-building
inviting popular appeals in socialist countries to engage in economic and social reforms, ultimately also political change
the diplomatic role of Western European governments between Moscow and Washington
Margaret Thatcher, Francois Mitterand, Helmut Kohl, Mauno Koivisto
the persistence of 1970s détente attitudes among many Europeans, social democrats in particular
11. From Reagan to George H. W. Bush change of president Jan 1989
from the vice-presidency to the oval office
at first a more critical and cautious approach towards the Soviet Union
thereafter a reactive but careful line
socialist regimes collapse one after another in Eastern Europe
Gorbachev made most of the policy initiatives
Malta summit Dec 1989
important in establishing openly that the Cold War had ended between the superpowers
in 1990 focus on the future of Germany
12. Conclusion main emphasis was until 1989 on arms talks and nuclear disarmament
establishing dialogue and trust between the superpowers
burden of concessions was on the Soviet side
the US responded carefully but prudently
whether they wanted to transform the international system debatable
what did they thought it meant to end the Cold War?
new détente ran ’out of control’, leading to unexpected outcomes
upheavals in Eastern Europe 1989 came as a surprise for both sides
13. Further reading Raymond Garthoff: Détente and Confrontation (1994)
Marie-Pierre Rey: ”’Europe is our Common Home’: A Study of Gorbachev’s Diplomatic Concept”, Cold War History (2004)
Geir Lundestad: ”’Imperial Overstretch’, Mikhail Gorbachev, and the End of the Cold War”, Cold War History (2000)
Vladislav M. Zubok: ”Gorbachev and the End of the Cold War: Perspectives on History and Personality”, Cold War History (2002)
Matthew Evangelista, ”Norms, Heresthetics, and the End of the Cold War”, Journal of Cold War Studies (2001)
Daniel C. Thomas, ”Human Rights Ideas, the Demise of Communism, and the End of the Cold War”, Journal of Cold War Studies (2005)
Saki Dockrill, The End of the Cold War Era (2005)