Sweden and IIASA Highlights (2008-2014)

1. Sweden and IIASA Highlights (2008-2014) September 2014

2. CONTENTS • Summary • National Member Organization • Some Leading Swedish Personalities Associated with IIASA • Research Partners • Research Collaborations: Selected Highlights • Capacity Building • Further Information

3. SUMMARY (2008-2014)

4. NATIONAL MEMBER ORGANIZATION The Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences and Spatial Planning (FORMAS) Swedish-IIASA Committee • Ingrid Petersson (Chair), General Director, FORMAS, and IIASA Council Member for Sweden • Professor Love Ekenberg, Head, Department of Computer and Systems Sciences (DSV), Stockholm University; Visiting Professor, KTH Royal Institute of Technology • Dr Jakob Granit, Centre Director, and Deputy Director, Stockholm Environment Institute • Dr Klaus Hammes, Head, Policy Analysis Unit, Swedish Energy Agency • Dr HördurHaraldsson, Swedish Environmental Protection Agency • Mr Jan Lagerström, Research Director, Swedish Forest Industries Federation • Professor Annika Nordin, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU) • Professor Dr BjörnStigson, Chairman, Stigson & Partners • Professor CintiaBertacchiUvo, Lund University Dr Sandro Caruso, Senior Research Officer at FORMAS is the NMO Secretary for Sweden.

5. SOME LEADING PERSONALITIES IN SWEDEN AND ASSOCIATED WITH IIASA Anna Ledin Bert Bolin Carl Folke BjӧrnStigson Lisa Sennerby-Forsse Johan Rockström

6. RESEARCH PARTNERS • 30 institutions in Sweden, including: • KTH Royal Institute of Technology • Lund University • Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) • Stockholm University • Swedish Board of Fisheries (NBF) • Swedish Energy Agency • Swedish Environmental Protection Agency • Swedish Environmental Research Institute (IVL) • Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) • Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU) • Umeå University

7. RESEARCH COLLABORATIONS Selected Highlights: • Bioenergy potentials in Sweden • Optimal location of biofuel plants in Sweden • Projecting changing population in Sweden • Global Energy Assessment and Sweden • Methane emissions and the Arctic • Improved fishing policies

8. BIOENERGY POTENTIALS IN SWEDEN Total production of bioenergy 2000-2050 under the different scenarios Cumulative deforestation 2000-2050 caused by land use change according to the different scenarios The Future of Nordic Forestry: A Global Perspective. (In press) Westholm, Lindahl, Kraxner (Eds). Springer

9. OPTIMAL LOCATION OF BIOFUEL PLANTS Wetterlund, E., Pettersson, K., et. al., (2013) Optimal localisation of next generation biofuel production in Sweden – Part II. Report No 2013:26, f3 The Swedish Knowledge Centre for Renewable Transportation Fuels, Sweden.

10. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SWEDEN To update with Finland

11. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SWEDENSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

12. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SWEDENSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

13. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SWEDEN To update with Finland

14. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SWEDENSTALLED DEVELOPMENT

15. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SWEDENSTALLED DEVELOPMENT

16. GLOBAL ENERGY ASSESSMENT AND SWEDEN • 2006-12: GEA defines a new global energy policy agenda—one that transforms the way society thinks about, uses, and delivers energy. • Significant Swedish contribution: • Sponsorship (FORMAS & Swedish Energy Agency) • Direction via key roles in GEA governing Council and executive committee • 16 Swedish authors and reviewers • One notable outcome: GEA guides targets of UN Secretary-General’s Sustainable Energy For All Initiative 16 Source: GEA, 2012: Global Energy Assessment - Toward a Sustainable Future, Cambridge University Press and IIASA

17. METHANE EMISSIONS AND THE ARCTICImplementation of existing control technology in Arctic countries would contribute to significant reductions in future global methane emissions Source: Höglund-Isaksson, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (2012)

18. 80 70 Moratorium 60 50 Early warning 40 30 1975 1992 2004 IMPROVED FISHING POLICIES • Northern Cod stock collapsed in 1992 and has not recovered since • Heavy exploitation favors earlier maturation at smaller size • We have documented a15% drop in age at maturation and a 30% drop in size at maturation • Such evolutionary impactsof fishing are very slow and difficult to reverse • New tool: Evolutionary Impact Assessments (Science 318:1247, Science 320:48) Size at 50% maturation probability at age 5 (cm) Nature428:932

19. CAPACITY BUILDING • 23 doctoral students studying in Sweden have won places on IIASA’s Young Scientists Summer Program since 2008.

20. CAPACITY BUILDING Southern-African Young Scientist Summer Program: (SA-YSSP) • Jonas Wickman (SA-YSSP 2013-14 & Umeå University) researched the impact of spatial structure on evolutionary food-web formation.

21. CAPACITY BUILDING 10 postdoctoral fellows from Sweden have developed their research and published widely at IIASA since 2008

22. FURTHER INFORMATION IIASA www.iiasa.ac.at The Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences and Spatial Planning (FORMAS) www.formas.se