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Japan and IIASA Highlights (2008-2014)

Japan and IIASA Highlights (2008-2014). October 2014. CONTENTS. Summary National Member Organization Some Leading Japanese Personalities Associated with IIASA Research Partners Research Collaborations: Selected Highlights Capacity Building Further Information. SUMMARY (2008-2014).

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Japan and IIASA Highlights (2008-2014)

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  1. Japan and IIASA Highlights (2008-2014) October 2014

  2. CONTENTS • Summary • National Member Organization • Some Leading Japanese Personalities Associated with IIASA • Research Partners • Research Collaborations: Selected Highlights • Capacity Building • Further Information

  3. SUMMARY (2008-2014)

  4. NATIONAL MEMBER ORGANIZATION The Japan Committee for IIASA • Professor Youichi Kaya (Chair), Professor Emeritus, University of Tokyo and President, Research Institute for Innovative Technology for the Earth (RITE) • Dr Hajime Akimoto, Director General, Asia Center for Air Pollution Research (ACAP), Japan Environmental Sanitation Center • Dr Hideo Harasawa, Vice President, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES) • Dr MikikoKainuma, Fellow, Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, NIES • Mr Hideyuki Mori, President, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES) • Professor Shinichiro Ohgaki, Professor Emeritus, University of Tokyo and President, Japan Water Research Center • Dr Kazuhiko Takemoto, Director, United Nations University Institute for the Advanced Study of Sustainability (UNU-IAS) & IIASA Council Member for Japan • Professor Kazuhiko Takeuchi, President, Research Director, Integrated Research Systems for Sustainability Science (IR3S), University of Tokyo • Professor Kenji Yamaji, Director-General, RITE • Professor TetsuzoYasunari, Director General, Research Institute for Humanity and Nature • Mr Ryutaro Yatsu, Special Advisor, Ministry of the Environment, Japan • Ms Masako Ogawa (Observer), Director, International Cooperation Office, Environmental Management Bureau, Ministry of the Environment, Japan

  5. SOME LEADING PERSONALITIES IN JAPAN AND ASSOCIATED WITH IIASA Hajime Akimoto Hideo Harasawa Hironori Hamanaka Yoichi Kaya Kenji Yamaji TetsuzoYasunari

  6. RESEARCH PARTNERS • 30 institutions in Japan, including: • Asia Center for Air Pollution Research • Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry (CRIEPI) • Institute for Applied Energy (IAE) • Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES) • Kyoto University • Ministry of the Environment • National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES) • Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth (RITE) • Toyota Central Research and Development Corporation (TCRDL) • Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)

  7. RESEARCH COLLABORATIONS Selected Highlights: • The Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium • Greenhouse gas emissions 2000-2100 • Global Energy Assessment and Japan • Alternative pathways toward sustainable development and climate stabilization • Potential for global electrification to reduce greenhouse gas emissions • Tackling black carbon and methane • Co-benefits: Improving air quality and tackling climate change • Future prediction of tropospheric ozone over South and East Asia • Negative emissions potential in Japan • Projecting changing population in Japan • Verification of satellite data • Integrated disaster risk management • Disease-spread over the commuter network area in Tokyo

  8. THE INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODELING CONSORTIUM • Co-founders: NIES, IIASA, and Stanford University • Main scientific organization of the climate mitigation research community • Identifies community research priorities and organizes community-wide activities and processes (eg., IPCC SSP, RCPs)

  9. GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS 2000-2100 IIASA and NIES play key roles in the development of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) and Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP) datasets that underpin IPCC Fifth Assessment MESSAGE (IIASA) AIM (NIES) GCAM (PNNL) IMAGE (PBL) Conceptual framework and substance of RCPs and SSPs in 3 special issues 9

  10. GLOBAL ENERGY ASSESSMENT AND JAPAN • 2006-12: GEA defines a new global energy policy agenda—one that transforms the way society thinks about, uses, and delivers energy. • Significant Japanese contribution: • Nine lead analysts, four contributors and one reviewer • Findings relevant to Japan and Asia were presented at a workshop in Tokyo in 2013 • One notable outcome: GEA guides targets of UN Secretary-General’s Sustainable Energy For All Initiative 10 Source: GEA, 2012: Global Energy Assessment - Toward a Sustainable Future, Cambridge University Press and IIASA

  11. ALTERNATIVE PATHWAYS TOWARD SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND CLIMATE STABILIZATION (ALPS) Diffusion of Coal Power Plants (ALPS 2014) • TOPICS: • Energy security • Technology diffusion • New Concepts for technological learning • Actor heterogeneity & behavior

  12. POTENTIAL FOR GLOBAL ELECTRIFICATION TO REDUCE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS 1200 550 ppm 1000 Savings Geothermal Solar Wind 800 Hydro Nuclear Gas wCCS 600 EJ Gas woCCS Oil Coal wCCS 400 Coal woCCS Biomass wCCS Biomass woCCS 200 0 2005 all demand side options no EVs & plug-in hybrids no fuel cells no EVs, plug-in Hybrids & fuel cells

  13. TACKLING BLACK CARBON AND METHANE GAINS identified 14 key air quality measures that if implemented could slow the pace of global warming, save millions of lives, and boost agricultural production. Global temperature 1900-2070 Reference scenario IEA World Energy Outlook 2009 CO2 measures IEA 450 ppm scenario 2009 Near-term measures IIASA set of 16 measures for CH4 and black carbon CO2 + Near-term measures • These 14 measures are • win (for air quality), • win (for near-term climate change) • win (for economic development). Source: Shindell et al., Science (2012) 335 no. 6065; p. 183-189

  14. TACKLING BLACK CARBON AND METHANE (2) • CCAC initiative was first effort to treat short-live climate pollutants as a collective challenge and support fast action to reduce them • From 6 member countries in 2012 to 39 member countries in 2014 including Japan • IIASA’s Markus Amann sits on CCAC’s scientific committee

  15. CO-BENEFITS: IMPROVING AIR QUALITY AND TACKLING CLIMATE CHANGE

  16. FUTURE PREDICTION OF TROPOSPHERIC OZONE OVER SOUTH AND EAST ASIA IN 2030

  17. NEGATIVE EMISSSIONS POTENTIAL IN JAPAN 100 MW (5) 0 in-situ CCS Total potential “in-situ” BECCS Effect: 1.5 million tons CO2 per year 50 MW (11) 1 in-situ CCS 10 MW (66) 10 in-situ CCS Total potential CO2 substitution effect: 12-13 million tons CO2 per year

  18. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN JAPAN To update with Finland

  19. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN JAPANSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

  20. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN SWEDENSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

  21. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN JAPAN To update with Finland

  22. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN JAPANSTALLED DEVELOPMENT

  23. PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN FINLANDSTALLED DEVELOPMENT

  24. VERIFICATION OF SATELLITE DATA IIASA’s detailed databases on land cover of Russia Japan’s GOSAT (Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite)

  25. INTEGRATED DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT • A global platform for integrated disaster risk reduction since 2009. • Built on the success of • DPRI-IIASA forums. • Charter approved by 100 international experts in more than 20 countries. • Holds annual conferences and publishes the “IDRiM society journal.”

  26. DISEASE-SPREAD OVER THE COMMUTER NETWORK AREA IN TOKYO Yashima K, Sasaki A (2014) Epidemic Process over the Commute Network in a Metropolitan Area. PLoS ONE 9(6): e98518. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0098518 http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0098518

  27. CAPACITY BUILDING • 14 doctoral students from Japan have won places on IIASA’s Young Scientists Summer Program since 2008.

  28. CAPACITY BUILDING • 4 post-doctoral fellows from Japan have taken part in IIASA’s Postdoctoral Program since 2008.

  29. FURTHER INFORMATION IIASA www.iiasa.ac.at The Japan Committee for IIASA http://www.iges.or.jp/en/network/iiasa.html

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