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Meteorology 415 Fall 2012

Meteorology 415 Fall 2012. Forecast Review Wednesday, October 31, 2012 Johnstown, PA (JST). Johnstown, PA. Population (2010) • City 20,978 • Urban 76,113 • Metro 143,679. Johnstown Observations. KJST 312354Z AUTO 25011KT 9SM UP OVC005 01/00 A2956 RMK AO2 SNB36E43 CIG

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Meteorology 415 Fall 2012

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  1. Meteorology 415Fall 2012 Forecast Review Wednesday, October 31, 2012 Johnstown, PA (JST)

  2. Johnstown, PA Population (2010) • City 20,978 • Urban 76,113 • Metro 143,679

  3. Johnstown Observations KJST 312354Z AUTO 25011KT 9SM UP OVC005 01/00 A2956 RMK AO2 SNB36E43 CIG 003V009 SLP030 P0000 60015 T00110000 10011 20006 53013= KJST 010008Z AUTO 25011KT 6SM -SN BR OVC003 01/01 A2956 RMK AO2 UPE2356SNB2356 CIG 002V008 P0001= KJST 010054Z AUTO 24010G18KT 8SM -SN OVC003 01/01 A2957 RMK AO2 UPE46SNB2356E11B46 SLP031 P0001 T00110006= KJST 010154Z AUTO 24011KT 8SM -SN OVC003 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 UPB0057E35SNE0057B21E23B35 CIG 003V007 SLP035 P0001 T00060000= KJST 010254Z AUTO 22010KT 5SM -SN BR OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 CIG 003V008 SLP037 P0000 60002 T00060000 53007= KJST 010354Z AUTO 26012G17KT 5SM -SN BR OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 CIG 003V007 SLP037 P0002 T00060000= KJST 010454Z AUTO 25011KT 8SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 CIG 003V010 SLP036 P0001 T00060000 400111006= KJST 010554Z AUTO 24012KT 8SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 SLP035 P0001 60006 T00060000 10011 20006 55001= KJST 010654Z AUTO 23010KT 8SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 SLP034 P0001 T00060000= KJST 010754Z AUTO 24012KT 9SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 SLP034 P0001 T00060000= KJST 010854Z AUTO 25011KT 8SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 SLP034 P0000 60002 T00060000 56001=

  4. Johnstown Surface Map

  5. Johnstown Satellite Imagery

  6. Johnstown IR Imagery

  7. Johnstown Radar

  8. Johnstown Upper Air Analysis

  9. Johnstown Model

  10. Johnstown Verifications

  11. Johnstown – Survey Scores

  12. Johnstown – Career Scores

  13. Up Close and Personal

  14. COMPARE for JST

  15. Lessons Learned- Johnstown Without a defined lifting mechanism and in an oblique upslope flow, precip will be light and visibility will not be that low. Temperatures go nowhere without advection and especially under a low overcast with a steady wind Short term forecasts in a steady state pattern is where MOS does quite well.

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