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Update on GCOS Activities and collaboration with CEOS

Update on GCOS Activities and collaboration with CEOS. Carolin Richter, Director, GCOS Secretariat CEOS 24th Plenary, 3-5 November 2009 Phukhet, Thailand. Outline. Update of GCOS Implementation Plan – Cost estimates Satellite Supplement – Possible update

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Update on GCOS Activities and collaboration with CEOS

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  1. Update on GCOS Activities and collaboration with CEOS Carolin Richter, Director, GCOS Secretariat CEOS 24th Plenary, 3-5 November 2009 Phukhet, Thailand

  2. Outline • Update of GCOS Implementation Plan – Cost estimates • Satellite Supplement – Possible update • Thoughts on continued CEOS-GCOS Interactions and how GCOS as a neutral assessment programme can aid space agencies in meeting climate requirements

  3. Update of GCOS Implementation Plan • Draft submitted to UNFCCC on 28 October, for consideration at COP 15 • Open review 15 November 2009 – 31 January 2010 • Update on: priorities, ECVs, satellite needs, cost estimates • Consistent with (and going beyond) Satellite Supplement • Cost estimates: • Additional annual cost needed for climate on top of existing support • Included in costs are: • Missions primarily/only for climate are costed • Missions currently not committed but important for climate (e.g., altimetry) • Not included in costs are: • Missions not primarily built for climate but from which data are/will be important for climate • FCDR data analysis and ECV product generation are costed • Estimates given in 5 cost bands (1-10M USD/yr, 10-30M USD/yr etc.)

  4. Summary of annual additional cost needed to implement Actions in 2009 GCOS IP Update (draft v1.0) All numbers in million USD Status: 28 October 2009

  5. Possible update of GCOS Satellite Supplement • Objective: Ensure that any update of the CEOS reponse to GCOS IP is in line with the Updated 2009 GCOS IP. First step: Update 2006 Satellite Supplement to the GCOS IP (GCOS-107) • Update detailed GCOS requirements for FCDRs and ECV products in terms of • accuracy, • stability, • temporal/spatial resolution, • calibration and validation needs and opportunities, • relevant international working groups. • GCOS SC-XVII discussed possibility of updating Satellite Supplement, and left the decision open • If CEOS feels such an update is needed in light of the Updated GCOS IP, consider this as of late 2010/2011

  6. CEOS-GCOS Collaboration (1) • GCOS is a “CEOS Associate” • GCOS is committed to continue the successful partnership with CEOS • GCOS is committed to support and advise CEOS on coordinated action for climate, through inter alia: • Continued collaboration with CEOS Climate Coordinator • Collaboration with prospective CEOS Climate Expert Team • Regular participation in SIT and Plenary sessions • Any other means as appropriate • GCOS is committed to support CEOS (and other bodies seeking to implement climate requirements), where needed, in its dialogue with the UNFCCC, through inter alia: • Exchange of information related to UNFCCC sessions (SBSTA, COP, AWG-LCA), e.g. statements in plenary, reports, side events

  7. CEOS-GCOS Collaboration (2) • The CEOS Response to GCOS (59-action plan) is comprehensive, but not complete (e.g. re ECV product generation) • CEOS agencies included additional actions in the Climate SBA of the CEOS Implementation Plan for GEOSS • The Constellations also evolve with attention to GCOS and the GCMPs • Activities under SCOPE CM address ECV product generation for mainly meteorological ECVs • Can all this be mapped into an updated overall CEOS response, with attention to the Updated GCOS IP-09?

  8. Thank you For more information about the GCOS programme please visit our website http://gcos.wmo.int Contact Information GCOS Secretariat c/o World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) 7 bis, Avenue de la Paix P.O. Box 2300 1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland Tel: +41 22 730 80 67 Fax: +41 22 730 80 52 E-mail: gcosjpo@wmo.int

  9. Considerations for SIT • GCOS suggest that a few CEOS individuals critically review the cost estimates in the current draft Updated GCOS IP • N.B. GCOS will take full responsibility for the costings and not cite contributed advice (ultimately only an individual agency can cost its own missions). • GCOS suggest a discussion on • A possible update to the Satellite Supplement, associated with • An updated Response by CEOS to GCOS needs • GCOS Guideline for consideration by CEOS • GCOS is the climate observing component of GEOSS –> -> New task in GEO 2009-2011 Work Plan: CL-09-02 “Accelerate the implementation of the GCOS” Sub-task a) Key Observations for Climate Sub-task b) Key Climate Data from Satellite Systems (formerly CL-06-02)

  10. GCOS Guideline for generation of ECV datasets and products In working towards meeting the GCOS requirements, particular attention to: • Respond to increasing demand by producers to ensure quality / meeting GCOS requirements • Enable: (1) Self-assessment of quality by producers (2) Transparency for all users to assess quality

  11. What next?2009 Update of GCOS Implementation Plan • Basis: • 2004 Plan; 2006 Satellite Supplement • Update, not rewrite • Recognizing progress and changes in: • Science (e.g., IPCC AR4, Sydney workshop “Learning from the AR4”) • Technology (e.g., satellite sensors, ocean in-situ platforms) • Needs (e.g., stronger focus on adaptation and mitigation options) • International coordination (e.g., GEO/GEOSS, UN System “Delivering as One” on Climate Change) • Noting: • Views expressed in National Reports on GCOS • Views by CEOS agencies • Expert advice (3 task team meetings in 2009)

  12. 2009 Update of GCOS Implementation Plan • Request for Updated IP by UNFCCC SBSTA 30 includes: • Request for cost estimations to implement GCOS, broken down by region, observing system, and between developing and developed countries • Draft by 2 November 2009, for consideration at COP 15 • Open review November 2009 – January 2010 • Final by April 2010 • Current draft Updated IP includes: • Some new ECVs (Ocean oxygen, Soil Moisture, Soil Carbon), additions (Precursors to Aerosols, O3) and some refined ECVs terms • Actions, with Agents, Timelines, Performance Indicators, Costings • More emphasis on Earth system cycles • More emphasis on regional and local networks • More emphasis on reanalysis, reprocessing and research • CEOS Climate Coordinator provided comments on initial draft (v0.4, April 2009)

  13. GCOS Essential Climate Variables (ECVs) in draft Update of GCOS IP (v0.5.4) • Priority list of variables to be observed systematically • Criteria: • Global observations feasible (practical, cost-effective) • High impact on needs of UNFCCC, climate change assessments (IPCC) • Atmospheric (16) • Surface – Air temperature, Wind speed and direction, Water vapour, Pressure, Precipitation, Surface radiation budget • Upper Air – Air temperature, Wind speed and direction, Water vapour, Cloud properties, Earth radiation budget (including solar irradiance) • Composition – Carbon dioxide, Methane and other long-lived greenhouse gases, Ozone and Aerosol, supported by their precursors. • Oceanic (15) • Surface – Sea-surface temperature, Sea-surface salinity, Sea level, Sea state, Sea ice, Current, Ocean colour (for biological activity), Carbon dioxide partial pressure, Ocean acidity,Phytoplankton • Sub-surface: Temperature, Salinity, Current, Nutrients, Carbon dioxide partial pressure, Ocean acidity, Oxygen,[Marine biodiversity and habitat properties] • Terrestrial (13) • River discharge, Water use, Ground water, Lake levels, Snow cover, Glaciers and ice caps, Ice sheets, Permafrost and seasonally-frozen ground, Albedo, Land cover (including vegetation type), Fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (FAPAR), Leaf area index (LAI), Above-ground biomass, Soil carbon, Fire disturbance, Soil moisture,[Habitat properties]

  14. Some GCOS Milestones • GCOS 2nd Adequacy Report in Support of the UNFCCC (2003): identified gaps and deficiencies in observing systems for climate • GCOS Implementation Plan in Support of the UNFCCC (2004) : the roadmap for the global climate observing system in the next 5-10 years (in situ, space-based, models, institutions, agents) – 131 Actions • September 2006: Publication of GCOS-107 “Systematic Observation Requirements for Satellite-based Products for Climate” (‘Satellite Supplement’ to GCOS IP) • October/November 2006: Publication by Space Agencies (CEOS): “Satellite Observation of the Climate System”; as a response to space component of GCOS IP • Adoption by UNFCCC (2007) of revised national systematic observation reporting guide lines – matching the GCOS IP

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