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This presentation by Gerhard de Beer on July 12, 2017 discusses trend analysis, long-term perspective, SWOT analysis, 5-year forecast plan, and the way forward for transitioning to rail transportation in Botswana. The presentation covers commodity-specific trend analysis, freight revenue streams, capacity creation, and the importance of road-rail intermodal facilities.
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Botswana Road to Rail Presented by: Gerhard de Beer Date: 12 July 2017
Content • Trend analysis • Long term perspective • SWOT • 5 year forecast plan • Way forward
Where do we want to be! Planned Do Nothing Demand
Freight Revenue Streams - Total Currently more shipped freight is received in Botswana (about half of all freight and 75% of traded freight) By 2041 Botswana could become a net exporter by volume
Freight Revenue Streams - Rail The country’s transport task will play a more important role in the economy And will only be possible by rail
Freight Revenue Streams – per commodity Most imports are energy, FMCG and construction related Driven mostly by fuel, food and cement
Freight Revenue Streams – per commodity (Rail) Botswana Total Exports – Industry Groups (excluding energy) by weight with forecast (Rail Market Share)
Freight Typologies Distribution of freight across the 3 rail friendly typologies with growth up to 2041. Coal is the major growth area on the primary typology Rail share of corridor and localised/gateway traffic should be higher
Total Freight (Road and Rail) 2012 – Export on South-East Corridor
Total freight (Road and Rail) 2012 – Import on South-East Corridor
Currently BR is responsible for 28% of ton-kilometers, 24% of tons shipped, but 16% of freight transport costs
Corridor transport is mostly defined as palletised, fast moving consumer goods This type of cargo is uniform in nature, and travels over long distances - modal shift enabled by intermodality has been achieved around the world
Capacity Creation Diagram 4 Understand operational processes at the client. Understand long term forecast Advise Client • Understand the logistic needs • Develop a logistic solution 3 Identify critical milestones in supply chain Mutual trust • Consignment tracking • BR must be the interface with Client • Complete Transnet forms 2 Inform if consignment reach its destination or Remedial action Develop relationship 1 Know BR capacity Train marketing sector BR the 1st choice • Optimise capacity
New Mines Jindal Mine Walkabout Resources
Impact on mines • Morupule must move to a flask loading facility • Yard facility to operate 50 wagons or more • Temporary Loading facility for Jindal Africa • New mines must look a flask loading facilities which can operate at a rate of 5000 ton/h or more • New Siding for Mowana
Fuel Import (Rail) Total: 403 644 Francistown 169 891 Gaborone 222 315 Other 11 438 Total Fuel Import (Road + Rail)= 886 932
Way forward • Understand the Clients needs (Long term and Logistical) • Train Marketing/Customer Managers • Capacity of ports • Understand and apply the logistics value chain in service offering • Monitoring of consignment • Develop the capabilities of the planning department • Establish intermodal facility at Francistown • Negotiate on correct levels with Transnet and even government level • Obtain the required resources for growth (wagons, Locomotives • Provide sidings for Jindal, Mowana • Establish the relationship of shipping agents to supply containers to mines at part of solutions • Establish a relationship with road hauliers to move freight from road to rail at intermodal facilities • Establish regulatory interventions (Department of Transport) to move freight from road to rail • New Generation technologies (Road train concept, Roadrailer, etc)
Road-railers Tracks ahead: Road Railers - YouTube