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Dag Olav Høgvold Directorate for Civil Protection and Emergency Planning, Norway HFA focal point / Norwegian Climate Adaptation Programme. Climate change adaptation from the NPs and HFA focal points perspective. Past , present and future climate A very brief introduction. Today.
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Dag Olav Høgvold Directorate for CivilProtection and Emergency Planning, Norway HFA focalpoint / NorwegianClimateAdaptation Programme Climate change adaptation from the NPs and HFA focal points perspective Et trygt og robust samfunn - der alle tar ansvar
Past, present and futureclimate A verybriefintroduction
Today (Ensemble Mean IPCC 4AR, Scenario A2)
3.2 mill years Today (Ensemble Mean IPCC 4AR, Scenario A2)
Somechallenges from a Norwegian/Northern European perspective
Melting of the Arctic ice • Serious damage to the Arctic ecosystem • Opens up for utilization of natural resources • New shipping routes 2006-min 2007-min 2008 pr. 3/9
Higher frequency of landslides and floods New areas exposed More unpredictible Urban floods and insufficient drainage Heavier rain will cause damage to buildings More frequent and heavier precipitation - consequences
Rising sealevel Report first publishedOctober 2008 Shows expectedsealevels 2050 and 2100 for all municipalitiesalong the coast Expectedsealevelvariesaccording to land rise, oceancurrents, and oceantemperature Main challenge: How to usethisknowledge?
The ocean absorbs approximately one-fourth of the CO2 added to the atmosphere from human activities • Decreases the ability of many marine organisms to build their shells and skeletal structure • We don’t yet know the full impact for fisheries and coastal sector Change in sea surface pH caused by anthropogenic CO2 between the 1700s and the 1990s (Wikipedia) Ocean acidification Et trygt og robust samfunn - der alle tar ansvar
Planning for the unknown – how to dealwith the uncertainties? Planning can not be basedonpastexperiences Climateprojectionsareuncertain
Dominant winddirectiontoday Tomorrow?
NorwegianClimateAdaptation Programme • Established 2007 • Interministerialcommittee • Headed by MinistryoftheEnvironment • Secretariat: Directorate for CivilProtection and Emergency Planning (links DRR and CCA) • No changes in responsbilities – municipality/countylevels • Provideknowledge, exchange of experiences, competencebuilding Et trygt og robust samfunn - der alle tar ansvar
Activities • Developedcourse in climatechangeadaptation for development/ emergencyplanners & decision-makers at locallevel • Research (funding / steeringgroups) • ’FutureCities’ project – 13 largestmunicipalities (covers 50 per cent of total population) • WebsitelaunchedMarch 2009 • Handbook/planningtools to be developed by summer 2010 • OfficialNorwegianReport (2009-2010) Et trygt og robust samfunn - der alle tar ansvar
Website – klimatilpasning.no • Informationsharing • Experiences • Best practices • Research • Specificissues • Target groups: • Localplanners • Decision-makers • Municipalitylevel • Countylevel Et trygt og robust samfunn - der alle tar ansvar
Climateprojections: Knowledge – not answers Must be combinedwithlocalknowledge Awareness, culture Responsibilitiesat locallevel, with support from nationallevel • DRR in a changingclimate Long-term effects Climate related hazards Other hazards Disaster Risk Reduc- tion ClimateChangeAdapt. Integration into local development planning