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Load Forecast and Basecase Development. Load Forecast and Basecase Development. Load Forecast and Basecase Development. Load Forecast and Basecase Development. Load Forecast and Basecase Development. Load Forecast and Basecase Development. Substation Transformer Loading (STL) Program
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Load Forecast and Basecase Development • Substation Transformer Loading (STL) Program • Data repository • Monthly actual peaks/energy • Load projections • Growth rates
Load Forecast and Basecase Development • Populating the database • STL • Non-coincident values • Forecast data • “Fitting” the load • Conforming vs. Non-conforming • ‘Scrunch’ factor
Load Forecast and Basecase Development Load level assumptions • Historical • 1-in-2 (2010 = 1493 MW) • Proposed • 1-in-10 (2010 = 1530 MW) • Scenarios: • 1-in-20 (2010 = 1541 MW) • 1-in-50 (2010 = 1553 MW)