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Pacific Disaster Center 590 Lipoa Parkway, Suite 259

Natural Disasters in the Asia-Pacific Region: Trends and Prospects International Seminar on Disaster Management: Emerging Challenges for the Armed Forces New Delhi, India December 6, 2005 Craig Chellis. Pacific Disaster Center 590 Lipoa Parkway, Suite 259

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Pacific Disaster Center 590 Lipoa Parkway, Suite 259

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  1. Natural Disasters in the Asia-Pacific Region: Trends and Prospects • International Seminar on Disaster Management: • Emerging Challenges for the Armed Forces New Delhi, India • December 6, 2005 • Craig Chellis Pacific Disaster Center 590 Lipoa Parkway, Suite 259 Kihei, Maui, Hawaii 96753http://www.pdc.org - Contact@pdc.org 1-808-891-0525 - 1-808-891-0526 (Fax)

  2. Asia- Pacific Region Has High Risk About 40% of all major natural hazards About 60% of all deaths Natural Hazards Typhoons/Cyclones Storm Surge Flooding Earthquakes Tsunamis Landslides Volcanoes Heat/cold waves Drought

  3. Disaster Threats in the Asia - Pacific Region Human Induced/Technological Disasters Terrorism CBRN (Chemical, Biological, Nuclear, Radiological,) Oil/chemical spills Fires Transportation Biological Hazards HIV/AIDS Vector Borne Infectious Diseases (Influenza, Yellow, Dengue, West Nile, and Lassa Fevers) Hepatitis Cholera Diphtheria

  4. Disaster Threats in the A- P Region (Cont.) Emerging Epidemics (?) Avian Influenza Ebola Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Mad Cow Disease West Nile Fever Re-occurring Epidemics (?) Polio Small Pox (?)

  5. Lives and Property Catastrophic Damage Loss of Life Population Displacement Disruption of Social/Economic Processes Food Production Communications Transportation Introduction of Health and Economic “Stressors” Associated Diseases Disruption/Stress of Health/Social Services Economic/Governance Stability Effects Are Local and Regional

  6. Global Economic Losses Increasing

  7. Economic Losses Highest in the A-P Region Over 50% of Global Total in Asia

  8. Severe Weather the Main Global Threat

  9. Asia Leads in Weather- related Disasters

  10. Disaster Deaths Highest in the A-P Region

  11. Asia-Pacific Region is Rapidly Changing Population Growth Economic Importance Cultural/Political Impacts Pace of Development and Inability to Withstand Major Disasters are Leading to Increased Risk Rapid, Poorly Planned Development Marginal Support Infrastructure Regional Development and Natural/Technogenic Threats = Increased Number of Human Disasters Risk Is Increasing in the Region

  12. Who is most affected? Of 2,557 natural disasters reported over the last ten years, Two-thirds of those killed came from countries of low human development (LHD) Just 2 per cent came from highly developed nations. On average, 22.5 people die per reported disaster in highly developed nations, while each disaster in LHD countries claims an average of 1,052 people. By comparing the totals of reported killed with the total number of disasters, the relationship between development and disasters impacts becomes stark.

  13. Bearing the Brunt… Global Natural “Ultra Disasters” Contrast the “Great Sumatra” Earthquake and Tsunami”… Over 250,000 killed Damage estimated at US$16B …With the recent “Katrina” Hurricane Cyclone that resulted in: Approximately 2,000 dead Damage estimated at US$40B Commonality: Disproportional Impact on the Poor

  14. Meeting the Challenges • Become proactive not reactive • Anticipate Hazards • Manage Risk, Understand Vulnerability and Social/Economic Impacts of Hazards down to the Community Level • Prepare, and Adopt Mitigation Measures to Reduce Losses of Life and Property and Accompanying Disruption • Build Resilience to Hazards into the Process of ALL Decision-Makers • Create Partnerships Among Government, Military, Academia, Industry, and the Public ( Local, National and International) • Enhance Information and Communications Infrastructure

  15. Increased Access To Data & Information Remote Sensing In-Situ, Accessible Networks Portable Collection & Viewing Resources Knowledge & Situational Awareness Information Addressing Complex Issues Risk & Vulnerability Assessment Land Use/Community Planning Emergency Management Health Knowledge-based Planning Preparedness, Mitigation and Recovery, not just response Linked to Sustainable Development Resources & Possibilities Meeting the Information Challenges

  16. Thank You Questions? Craig Chellis cchellis@pdc.org 808-891-7941

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