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Explore the driving factors, safety advancements, and technological contributions shaping the future of commercial airplanes. Discover the growth of regional jets, advancements in systems and engines, and the need for regulatory systems to keep pace with developments.
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Future Vision of Aeronautical Products and Technology:Commercial Airplanes Dr. Michael Romanowski Vice President, Civil Aviation June 8, 2005
What Drives Our Industry? Safety New Technologies 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Liberalization Has Led To More Frequencies And Non-stops . 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Regional Jets Continue Trend to Increased Point to Point Service 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Regional Jets Have Entered the Fleet in Large Numbers Regional Jets Turboprops ≤ 34 seats Turboprops > 34 seats Last new order (for 10) Nov ‘97 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
The Introduction of Very Light Jets/Air Taxis is a Logical Extension of Conventional Point to Point Service Concentric Circles represent VLJ ranges as indicated 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Aviation System Capacity Air travel growth has been met by increased frequencies and non-stops, not by increased airplane size. Air Travel Growth 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 Index 1980=100 Frequency Growth Non-stop Markets Average Airplane Size 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
2004-2023 Regional jets Single-aisle Twin-aisle 747 and larger Airline and Industry Strategies Airlines Will Need 25,000 New Airplanes* 25,000 airplanes 2.0 trillion delivery dollars* *Additional Estimates Call for Thousands of VLJ’s/Air Taxi *In year 2003 dollars 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Advanced Technology Contributions to Airplane Efficiencies Systems Engines Materials Aerodynamics 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Advanced Systems Technologies Span the Product Lines More Electric Systems Architecture Common Core Open Systems Architecture Advanced Flight Controls Integrated Health Management Wireless IFE e-Enabled Systems 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Surface Guidance System (SGS) Enhanced Vision System (EVS) Quiet Climb System (QCS) Integrated Approach Navigation Head-up Display (HUD) GPS Landing System (GLS) Synthetic VisionSystem (SVS) Navigation Performance Scales Vertical Situation Display (VSD) Electronic Flight Bag (EFB) Present Maturing Future Regulatory System Must Allow the Easy Insertion of New Safety Enhancements 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Additional Regulatory and Infrastructure Issues • System capacity— must transform the system to accommodate growth • Global business environment • Noise & emissions expectations 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Expectations Will Continue to Drive Quieter Aircraft Feet 0 5000 Meters 0 1500 London Heathrow Typical noise footprints extends well beyond airport property Future noise footprint stays in the airport property • 85 dBA contours • 3,000 nmi mission Source MS Mappoint, (c) Microsoft, Inc. 4001041404 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Summary • Trends towards increased use of point to point service across commercial product lines • Capacity will need to increase • Technology bringing new capabilities and safety improvements • Regulatory systems must keep pace with developments 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference