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2009 SR WCM Conference Ed Calianese Warning Coordination Meteorologist

Decision Support Web Pages. 2009 SR WCM Conference Ed Calianese Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Tulsa OK. WFO Tulsa DSP. Developed and implemented in 2005 Intended for EMs and other decision makers

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2009 SR WCM Conference Ed Calianese Warning Coordination Meteorologist

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  1. Decision Support Web Pages 2009 SR WCM Conference Ed Calianese Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Tulsa OK

  2. WFO Tulsa DSP • Developed and implemented in 2005 • Intended for EMs and other decision makers • One-stop shop for variety of products to support decision making • Important to EMs to have actual data values not NWS-determined threat values • GFE-driven for product consistency • Heavily marketed with intended user groups

  3. Decision Support Page CLICK

  4. Decision Support Page Overview • Spotter Activation Statement • Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook • Risk Analysis for each threat category for Day 1 • Risk Analysis for each threat category for Days 2 through 7 www.weather.gov/tulsa

  5. Threat Levels Threat level is calculated differently for each element • No Threat • Limited Threat • Elevated Threat • Significant Threat

  6. Decision Support Page Products

  7. Day 2 - 7 Threat Assessment in HWO

  8. MultiMedia Recorded Briefing • Articulate briefings • Most forecasters have produced them • EM/partner feedback indicates preferred over G2M • Time stamped • RSS Feed notification

  9. MultiMedia Recorded Briefing

  10. GFE-Driven DSP

  11. GFE-Driven DSP

  12. GFE-Driven DSP

  13. DSP products from GFE

  14. DSP products from GFE www.weather.gov/tulsa

  15. DSP-derivative products from GFE • FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL • QPF • RFC FFG

  16. DSP-derivative products from GFE • SPREAD INDEX • MaxT • MinRH • Wind • Vegetation State (constant) • Computed Hourly; max value for each grid point displayed • Modeled from AR Forestry

  17. DSP-derivative products from GFE • SPERRY-PILTZ ICE DAMAGE INDEX • Ice Accum • Wind • Modeled from OK Asscn of Elec Coops

  18. DSP-derivative products from GFE • 10% RAINFALL EXCEEDANCE (i.e. Worst Case Scenario) • 24-hour QPF • Probability curve given QPF – 10% chance to equal or exceed • ~EKDMOS • Modeled by TSA SOO

  19. DSP-derivative products from GFE • SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL • ProbThunder • CondProbSVR • Probability of SVR and/or TOR • More useful to EM than “25 miles of a given point”

  20. Decision Support Page v2.0 • Added River Flood chiclet • Evolution based on user feedback and SR DSP team discussions • Layout fits better in browser • Added another threat level • Mouse-over option • Extensive use of drop-down menus to minimize mouse clicks

  21. TSA DSP v2.0

  22. TSA DSP v2.0

  23. TSA DSP v2.0

  24. How is it used?! • Daily forecast check via click-for-weather page • In-depth self-briefing via DSP • Situational Awareness Display before and during events • Make staffing decisions based on DSP, G2M, Articulate briefings, telcon • Brief city/county officials • Ramp up volunteers

  25. OHMARS Outdoor Hazards Monitor and Response System

  26. OHMARS Evolution • Enormous risk to several outdoor venues • Met with Mayes County EMD • Situational Awareness Display that alerts user to predetermined threat threshold exceedance • Utilized for remote and on-scene support • Easily modified for individual venue EOP • Future delivery of service to digital devices

  27. Thresholds Setup Form 2007 OEMA Conference

  28. 2007 OEMA Conference

  29. 2007 OEMA Conference

  30. 2007 OEMA Conference

  31. 2007 OEMA Conference

  32. 2007 OEMA Conference

  33. 2007 OEMA Conference

  34. OHMARS – in action • TAEMA • PGA Championship, Oktoberfest, Tulsa State Fair • Mayes County EM • Bikelahoma, CountryFever, Rocklahoma • Benton County EM • LPGA Championship, Flu Vaccination/Exercise • Washington County EM • Univ of Ark events, FF Victim Search and Rescue • Sebastian County EM • Ft Chaffee Fire, AR EM Conference • Franklin County EM • Cass Outdoor events

  35. NWS Forecasters watch the fire from AR TV stations via the Internet. NWS Forecasters run HYSPLIT out of concern that potentially dangerous materials could be involved. NWS Forecasters IM with Fire Command Post answering questions from the Incident Commander and EMs. Radar Display NWS Forecasters provided hourly updates on Fire Spread Potential. Audio and Visual Alarms for changes in current conditions …NWS text products, and grids. Current Local Conditions NWS Forecasters provided hand-drawn graphics. WFO Tulsa assigned an Incident Meteorologist to provide hourly updates to grids which in turn gave the command post high-resolution forecast meteograms for the site. Grid-Based Hazard Potential Indicators

  36. QUESTIONS

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