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Operational Wind Observations and Forecasts

AMS Summer Community Meeting August 2009, Norman, Oklahoma. Operational Wind Observations and Forecasts. Andrew Stern, NOAA/NWS Local Forecast and Warnings Program Manager Silver Spring, MD Andrew.Stern@noaa.gov.

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Operational Wind Observations and Forecasts

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  1. AMS Summer Community Meeting August 2009, Norman, Oklahoma Operational Wind Observationsand Forecasts Andrew Stern, NOAA/NWS Local Forecast and Warnings Program Manager Silver Spring, MD Andrew.Stern@noaa.gov The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the National Weather Service.

  2. Outline • Wind Observing Capabilities • New Opportunities for Wind Observing • Operational Wind Forecasts • Benefits of PBL Observations • Future Directions AMS Community Meeting, Norman, OK August 2009

  3. Operational Wind Observing Capabilities • High Frequency METAR Observations - available via MADIS (madis.noaa.gov) from select ASOS/AWOS • 230 stations - 5 minute resolution - 10 meter winds AMS Community Meeting, Norman, OK August 2009

  4. Operational Wind Observing Capabilities • Doppler Radar Velocity Wind Profiles (VWP) – available from 88D & TDWR TMSY – VWP 0905Z 08/29/05 TMSY – LR REFL – Hurricane Katrina AMS Community Meeting, Norman, OK August 2009

  5. Operational Wind Observing Capabilities • MDCRS (Meteorological Data Collection and Reporting System) • TAMDAR (Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting) AMS Community Meeting, Norman, OK August 2009

  6. Operational Wind Observing Capabilities • GPS Radiosondes • 1 second resolution • 65/92 sites upgraded • Marine Buoys & C-MAN • Profiler Network Modernization • RASS provides Temp • 6 & 60 min Resolution National Profiler Network (35 Units) AMS Community Meeting, Norman, OK August 2009

  7. Remote Sensing of Winds METOP QuikSCAT – Quick Scatterometer ASCAT – Advanced Scatterometer Possible QuikSCAT follow-on activity: Dual-Frequency Scatterometer (DFS) system to be launched aboard the Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA)'s GCOM-W2 and GCOM-W3 missions AMS Community Meeting, Norman, OK August 2009

  8. New Opportunities for Wind Observations • Instrumented Tall Towers • Offshore wind observations & platforms (through offshore energy lease agreements) • SODAR/LIDAR from research testbeds • Satellite-based LIDARs • New partnerships with the wind enterprise to share resources Locations of CONUS Wind Farms Source: NPR Maps AMS Community Meeting, Norman, OK August 2009

  9. Quick Tour: Operational Wind Forecasts • Analyses • RTMA 5km • Forecasts • NDFD 5km • Analyses • RTMA 5km • Forecasts • NDFD 5km • RUC 13km • Analyses • RTMA 5km • Forecasts • NDFD 5km • RUC 13km • NAM 12km • Analyses • RTMA 5km • Forecasts • NDFD 5km • RUC 13km • NAM 12km • GFS 35km • Analyses • RTMA 5km • Forecasts • NDFD 5km • RUC 13km • NAM 12km • GFS 35km • NAM 925mb 12km • Analyses • RTMA 5km • Forecasts • NDFD 5km • RUC 13km • NAM 12km • GFS 35km • NAM 925mb 12km • NAM PBL Height • Analyses • RTMA 5km • Forecasts • NDFD 5km • RUC 13km • NAM 12km • GFS 35km • NAM 925mb 12km • NAM PBL Height • Experimental • Rapid Refresh 13km • Analyses • RTMA 5km • Forecasts • NDFD 5km • RUC 13km • NAM 12km • GFS 35km • NAM 925mb 12km • NAM PBL Height • Experimental • Rapid Refresh 13km • High Res RR 3km • Analyses • RTMA 5km AMS Community Meeting, Norman, OK August 2009

  10. Benefits of PBL Observations Programs Benefits • Aviation • Severe Weather • Surface Transportation • Hydrology • Air Quality • Fire Weather • Marine Weather • Renewable Energy* Icing, Turbulence, Clouds Convective Initialization Precipitation Type, Gustiness Freezing Level (LLJ) Depth of Air Mass Transport Winds, Plume Dispersal Depth of Marine Layer, Turb Xfer Shear, Winds, Icing *Not currently a NOAA Program AMS Community Meeting, Norman, OK August 2009

  11. Looking Toward the Future • Stakeholder Interaction • Coordination on NOAA/Wx Enterprise Roles • Enterprise requirements for observations, model outputs and generalized products • Populating the WIDB/4D Data Cube • Partnering to leverage existing observations • Metadata! • NOAA Activities • Participate on OFCM/CIOS and AMS Committees/APTs • Mission-oriented gap analysis/Tactical deployment for gap filling • Improve analyses & models AMS Community Meeting, Norman, OK August 2009

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