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Nordic Carbon-Neutral Scenario: Decoupling Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions

Explore the Nordic region's energy-related CO2 emissions in the Carbon-Neutral Scenario, with an 85% reduction compared to 1990 levels. Learn about the decoupling of CO2 emissions and GDP, renewable energy generation, wind power growth, and the potential for clean electricity exports.

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Nordic Carbon-Neutral Scenario: Decoupling Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions

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  1. Global energy-related CO2emissions from Energy TechnologyPerspectives 2012

  2. Nordic energy-related CO2emissions The Carbon-Neutral Scenario sees Nordic emissionsdrop 85% compared to1990 levels, withthe rest ofthe world pursuingthe 2C scenario.

  3. Decouplingof Nordic CO2emissions and GDP The Nordic region has seen a steady increase in GDP whilelimiting CO2emissiongrowth

  4. Nordic total primaryenergysupply in theCarbon-Neutral Scenario Biomassreplacesoil to becomesthelargestenergysource, growth in windpowercontributes to netelectricityexport in 2050

  5. Nordic electricity generation in 2010 65% Renewable 85% Carbon-free

  6. Nordic powergenerationin theCarbon-Neutral Scenario Renewable in 2050 80% 40% generation increase

  7. Nordic CO2emissions from power and heat generation Power and heat is decarbonised in all scenarios

  8. Nordic electricitygenerationin theCarbon-Neutral Scenario Up to a 10-fold increase in wind generation from 3% of total generation in 2010 to 25% in 2050

  9. Nordic windcapacity in 2010: 6GW Accounting for 3% of electricity generation

  10. 40GW of Nordic windcapacity in 2050 in theCarbon-Neutral Scenario Requiring 10 000 new onshore turbines, 3 000 new offshore turbines

  11. Infrastructure: Extra-Nordic transmission capacity in the Carbon-Neutral Scenario up to 15GW 6GW

  12. Nordic net electricity export in the Carbon-Neutral Scenario Interconnectors from Norway, Denmark and Sweden could facilitate a significant increase in exports of clean electricity to Continental Europe

  13. Nordic district heating mix by fuel District heating is virtually decarbonised in 2050

  14. Transport: Light-Duty Vehicle (LDV) fuel economy in the Carbon-Neutral Scenario 0.3 l/10km 0.7 l/10km Energy efficiency accounts for the majority of transport emission reductions in the short-term

  15. EV share of total Nordic car sales in the Carbon-Neutral Scenario 30% 90% in 2030 in 2050 Sales of EVs must double every year for the next decade

  16. Nordic energyuse in transport in theCarbon-Neutral Scenario Biofuelsaccount for 50% of total energyuse in transport in 2050

  17. Buildings: Energy efficiency improvements in the Carbon-Neutral Scenario 35% drop in residential energy use per m2

  18. Nordic CO2emissionsfrom residentialbuildings 75% ofinvestmentsgo to thebuildingshell

  19. Final energyconsumptionin Nordic industry Fossil fuel’sshareofenergyuse drops from 40% to 20%, emissionsdrop by 70%

  20. CCS utilisation in industry in 2050 in theCarbon-Neutral Scenario 50% of cement plants 30% of iron & steel, chemical plants

  21. System integration important

  22. Key challenges Energy Efficiency Biomass Supply CCS Infrastructure

  23. Nordic cooperation a key factor Cooperation potential evident in infrastructure development, low-carbon RD&D and transport strategies

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