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Ending overfishing can mitigate impacts of climate change. U. Rashid Sumaila Fisheries Economics Research Unit Global Fisheries Cluster The University of British Columbia Vancouver, Canada r.sumaila@oceans.ubc.ca @DrRashidSumaila. Our Fish Convened Webinar Sep 2, 2019.
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Ending overfishing can mitigate impacts of climate change U. Rashid Sumaila Fisheries Economics Research Unit Global Fisheries Cluster The University of British Columbia Vancouver, Canada r.sumaila@oceans.ubc.ca @DrRashidSumaila Our Fish Convened Webinar Sep 2, 2019
Outline of Webinar • Overfishing; • Climate change impacts; • Overfishing and climate resilience; • How to end overfishing; • Concluding remarks.
Overfishing as captured by fishing down marine food web (Pauly et al. 1998)
Ocean warming, acidification and deoxygenation • The ocean has become: • warmer (with the world struggling to limit the increase in average temperature to 2oC into the future); • with less sea-ice (summer Arctic sea ice extent is decreasing at 7.4% per decade); • more acidic (acidity projected to triple in the future); • less oxygenated in some area, higher sea level.
Fisheries implications of climate change Changes in fisheries catch, fisheries economics, fisheries management, food security Changes in community structure, trophic interactions, biodiversity • CLIMTE CHANGE • Temperature • Salinity • Hypoxia • Acidification Changes in population growth, abundance, species distribution Changes in body size, reproduction, primary productivity, habitats Organism Population Community/ ecosystems Fisheries Sumaila et al. (2011): Nature Climate Change
How ending overfishing can increase fish stock resilience to CC • Fishing <= MSY will increase fish biomass and therefore more resilient fish and ocean; • A more complete marine food web means a more diverse ecosystem; • Reduced ocean habitat destruction means fish will be in a better position to thrive.
How ending overfishing can increase fish stock resilience to CC • Fishing <= MSY would reduce species extinction risk under climate change by up to 63% (Cheung et al. 2018); • Reducing fishing effort will result in: • gains in catch even under climate change (Gaines et al. 2018); • mitigating climate change in of itself: less burning of carbon and higher sequestration by marine life.
How to end overfishing • Remove the incentive to overfish: • Improve national fisheries management; • Push for regional cooperative management; • Make illegal fishing unprofitable; • Buy insurance by creating MPAs; • Discipline &redirect harmful subsidies; • Think one global ocean.
To end overfishing, policies & actions should be … Positive Feedback Marine Conservation People Wellbeing • Two examples: • Subsidies • Marine protection Negative Feedback … designed to eliminate negative & promote positive feedbacks
Subsidies fuel negative feedback Small versus large scale fisheries Schuhbauer, Sumaila et al. (2017) Marine Policy
` There is one global ocean The depletion of stocks in one part (e.g. the high-seas) can influence the availability of fish to other parts. Exclusive economic zones (light blue) and high seas (dark blue)
Concluding remarks • Ending overfishing now would: • strengthen the ocean, making it more capable of withstanding climate change impacts; • contribute to mitigating climate change. • A healthy person is more likely to survive an epidemic than a person who is less healthy, and because of overfishing we have severely weakened the ocean’s immune system; • In this way people and the ocean are not that different.
Thanks for your attention! and Thanks to Our Fish for making this Webinar possible