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SHOW ME THE MONEY Notes From the Front Lines of Media Entrepreneurship. Mark Potts KDMC Boot Camp May 18, 2011. Show me the Money. Getting started Finding a business model Raising money Making money Measuring success Failure Lessons learned. A Cautionary Tale.
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SHOW ME THE MONEYNotes From the Front Lines of Media Entrepreneurship Mark Potts KDMC Boot Camp May 18, 2011
Show me the Money • Getting started • Finding a business model • Raising money • Making money • Measuring success • Failure • Lessons learned
A Cautionary Tale So You Want To Do a Web Startup
Why journalism startups aren’t like journalism • Math is required • You have little or no control • Mistakes are tolerated; failure is celebrated • If you’re VERY lucky, you can make a lot of money
What You Need • A great idea • However: “Execution matters more than the idea” — Union Square Ventures’ Fred Wilson • Great people • “Talent attracts capital, not the other way around” —NYC Chief Digital Officer Rachel Sterne • Money • Optional, but preferable • A business model • Not optional • Gumption, fortitude and patience
BUSINESS Model vs. business plan Business Model Business Plan An exercise in creative writing Your business model, in presentation/written/spreadsheet form Where do the numbers come from? You make them up! Still: An important exercise, to think through and present your idea • How an organization creates, delivers and captures value • A series of educated guesses about a customer problem and the product solution • Ideas and assumptions you can test over and over
Developing your BUSINESS Model • Your business model is just a set of hypotheses • They need to be tested and verified (preferably with customers) • Ask yourself difficult questions • Listen to the answers! Your worst, nagging fears are invariably correct • Take time to think through alternative possibilities • Odds are, where you wind up won’t be where you started out
Questions You Need to Answer(Adapted from Business Model Generation—Osterwalder & Pigneur) • Who’s your customer? • What’s your value proposition? • What problem do you solve? • What’s your basic model? • For-profit? Non-profit? Eyeballs first? Revenue first? • Where’s your startup capital coming from? • Investors? Loans? Grants? Revenue? Bootstrapping? • What skills do you need besides yours? • What other resources do you need? • How are you going to get the word out? • Who are your competitors? (Honestly) • What could possibly go wrong? (Honestly!)
For-profit? Or Non-PRofit? • Non-profit is a tax status, not a business model • Either way, you have to break even. At least • Successful non-profits are run just like businesses • There’s no free lunch—or free money
For-profit? Or Non-PRofit? For-profit Non-profit Raise money from foundations, donations Beholden to funders (just ask NPR!) Regular trips to the fund-raising well Fewer sources of revenue You can’t keep what’s left over • Raise money from investors • Beholden to customers, subscribers, advertisers • Have to answer to investors • Revenue provides working capital • You get to keep what’s left over
The facts of business model life • No business model survives the first customer contact • Don’t build your company until you’ve verified your business model • Adapt and iterate your business model until it works • Try, try, try again. Rinse. Repeat.
THINK BIG (ENOUGH) • Properly assess market size and potential • Plan for growth • Dare to dream • Don’t undersell—or underprice • Think like a businessperson, not a journalist
Turning A business model Into a Business Plan • Tell your story • Keep it direct, clear and simple • Highlight your strengths • Be positive: You’re selling yourself and your idea • Don’t overhype • Cover all bases (and beware gaping holes) • Where possible, show, don’t tell • Demos/screenshots are worth 1,000 words • Prepare for rejection • Iterate and fine-tune
Sources of startup Money • Bootstrapping • When you love it so much you’d do it for free • Family and friends • Remember, you can lose their money • Loans • Grants • Government funding
Sources of startup Money • Incubators • Angels and seeds • Venture capital • Find the right VCs • Prepare for rejection • Prepare to be micromanaged (not a bad thing) • The art of keiretsu • Wall Street • IPO!
A Hard Fact:Raising Money AIN’T EASY • Find the right people to pitch to • Connections help. A lot • What are the odds? • A VC’s week: • Hundreds of plans • A couple dozen pitches • 98% rejection rate • Knight News Challenge, 2007-2010: • 10,000 plans submitted • 50 funded • Prepare for rejection • Constantly revise and hone your pitch
A Field Guide to Revenue Sources The Usual Suspects Subscriptions Memberships Syndication • Advertising • Ads you sell • Self-serve ads • Google AdSense/contextual ads • Ad networks • Directories • Sponsorships • Deals of the day/coupons
A Field Guide to Revenue Sources OTHER REVENUE STREAMS • Advertiser services • Data • Website/Social media help • Mobile advertising • Conferences, events, classes • Selling stuff • Donations
Pop Quiz: Which of These are Successful Businesses? • The Washington Post • HuffingtonPost • YouTube • Twitter • Patch • Facebook
What is Success? • Not buzz • Not Twitter followers • Not Facebook fans • Not scoops • Not even a devoted audience • (though all of these are components of success)
What is Success? • Success is still being around in five years…and beyond • Success is building a sustainable business
Be Sure You Know How to Measure Success • Covering ALL costs • Paying a living wage (and benefits) • Reaching a loyal audience • Satisfying customers (advertisers) • Providing value • Turning a profit • Satisfying investors/funders
In Journalism,“Failure” is a dirty word • You got scooped • You blew the story • You missed a deadline • You misspelled a word in a headline • You missed a key detail • You screwed up somebody’s name
In Startups,It’s OK to Fail • It happens 90 percent of the time • Failure is a teachable moment • In Silicon Valley, failure is a badge of honor • “This one didn’t work out. That’s OK—the next one will.”— Legendary VC John Doerr • VCs often prefer to fund failed entrepreneurs rather than newbies • Learn from failure and mistakes
How to Fail • Fail fast • Fail smart • Fail graciously
10 Things You Need to Know About Startups • Startups are really, really hard work • They’re not for everybody • It’s a constant roller-coaster • Things never move quickly enough • Prepare to be discouraged
10 Things You Need to Know About Startups • Listen to what people tell you (but don’t believe all of it) • Have a sense of humor and play • Get comfortable wearing many different hats • Be flexible about EVERYTHING: something will always change—radically • Startups are really, really hard work
Mistakes I’ve Made • Hiring the wrong people (and not firing them) • Moving too slowly • Inflexibility • Not asking for help • Being too early to the dance • Not enough runway
“Why do you keep doing this?” • It’s a great challenge • You get to call your own shots • The chance to create something new • The (slim) chance to make a lot of money • It’s great fun
The future of journalism belongs to entrepreneurs • They’re more innovative • They’re more flexible • They’re passionate • They’re not encumbered by legacy thinking and problems • They’re fearless
Michael Corleone on Startups(from Godfather II) • Michael:[about the unrest in Cuba] We saw a strange thing on our way here. Some rebels were being arrested, and instead of being arrested, one of them pulled the pin on a grenade he had hidden in his jacket. He took himself and the captain of the command with him. • Guest: Ah, the rebels are insane! • Michael: Maybe. But the soldiers are paid to fight; the rebels aren't. • Hyman Roth: What does that tell you? • Michael: They can win.