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A one tonne future Curbing climate change means going from a global average of seven tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions per person each year in 2009 to just one tonne in 2109. This guide book looks at the challenges of the next 100 years and some of the solutions that can make the 1-tonne society a reality.
The interplay between nature and humanity Life on earth is shaped by slow, accumulated changes over time – e.g. geology, evolution Only in the last 100 years have we begun to understand how human economic activity and nature impact one another This knowledge entails responsibility 2
Emissions driver 2: Land use and forestry Deforestation and land conversion must be stopped, and in time, reversed, so that the world’s organic material can take up carbon from the atmosphere in a steady state.
The major long-term challenges are all interrelated • Population growth • Sustainable use of natural resources & systems • Economic growth and improving human welfare “ Woven into these is human-induced climate change – a very complex problem rooted in these other challenges but also likely to impact them significantly.
1 2 3 3 keys to avoiding the worst impacts of climate change Reach an eventual level of 1 tonne per person per year Halve global emissions by 2050 Reverse the emission trend as soon as possible
One tonne of CO2 with today’s technology STAY HOME Heating the house every fifth day (Northern Europe) 7 1 SHOP 1 new T-shirt (walk or bike to the shop) EAT 2 meals a day of 150g meat, 100g fries and tap water TRAVEL 10-20 km car ride 6
Infrastructure of a 1-tonne society • Filling this gap will mean: • Efficiency and reforestation ‘maxed out’ • Zero emission power (global) • Zero emission buildings (global) • Transportation and industry largely electrified and biofuelled (global) • Well developed sinks (natural and technical) 9
How might the world look in 2109? New sources of economic value Information, creativity, imagination driving growth Decoupled from material use, production/consumption of goods ‘Deep efficiency’ 100% recycling Cradle-to-cradle design Servitization ‘Lifecycle’ designs Renewable energy sources dominant Built environment integrated into nature Carbon cycle integrated into economic structure: emitting activities coupled to sinks Agriculture---biochar Fossil fuels---carbon capture from air 10
Competencies needed • Deep understanding of ”sustainability” and how to apply in different situations • Understand how society works at large and the role business can play in forming the future • Communicative skills • Ability to combine results from quantitative analysis/models and qualitative knowledge- see challenges from different perspectives