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Explore the vulnerability of livelihood systems to high food prices, impacts on various regions, coping strategies, and the role of urban areas in mitigating food deficits. Learn about income sources, asset depletion, and adaptation methods.
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Livelihood Systems & their Vulnerability to high food prices WHERE? WHO? WHEN? WHAT?
Continued dependence on food aid in some areas Deteriorating terms of trade Livestock disease affecting Uganda & Kenya Reduced mobilisation due to conflict & trade bans Asset bases depleted from past droughts To cope reduce expenditure - # of meals, diet diversity, non-food items, social services Rely more on credit, gifts & remittance Move to urban/peri-urban Pastoralists
Gap = 4 shoats Impact in pastoral livelihood zoneScenario - 50% price increase & reduced food aid Impact on food sources Impact on expenditure The impact of the shock will cause households to have a 44% food deficit before coping
Urban & peri-urban • Cost of living increased by up to 50% • Asset bases (savings) depleting To cope • Buy cheaper food direct from nearby rural farmers • Reduce expenditure - # of meals, non-staple foods • Reduce expenditure on water, soap, latrine etc (sanitation & hygiene) • Limit expenditure on social services & move to cheaper rent • Send (wife &) children to relatives or rural home • Limit use of cooking fuel & transportation • Rely more on credit, gifts & remit • Seek employment opportunities or negative IGAs
Gap = 6,000-7000/- Impact on urban poor – Mukuru Kwa RubenScenario - 50% price increase Impact on food sources Impact on expenditure The impact of the shock will cause households to have a 40% food deficit before coping
Agro-pastoral/Farmers Examples from SNNPR, Ethiopia Food Sources - poor Income sources - poor
Agro-pastoral/Farmers • Drought, conflict & displacement have affected production in the region • Currently food secure but deteriorating rapidly – dependent on next harvest • 25% increase in input costs & transportation • Deteriorating terms of trade • Asset bases depleted from past droughts – consume seeds To cope • Seek alternative income – agricultural or off-farm • Reduce expenditure - # of meals, diet diversity, non-food items, social services • Rely more on credit, gifts & remit • Move to urban/peri-urban Poor Income = Ksh 20,000-60,000 Sale of own produce, unskilled income-generating activities (e.g. agricultural, fishing); collection & sale of firewood & sale of charcoal
What to keep in mind….. • Response needs to be designed appropriately for different livelihoods • Therefore, we need to know how people are living in different livelihood zones: • Context esp. access to markets/trade flows/volumes • How much they rely on the market to purchase food • …...to sell produce & labour (income) • How much they spend on non-food items & fuel • And quantify their coping strategies (expandability) • To understand how they will be affected by the “shock/s”, who will affected & when