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Capital Program Oversight Committee (CPOC) May 23, 2011 Alok Saha, P.E., Program Manager, CPM Infrastructure and Facilities – Line Equipment, Shops & Yard . Mulry Square Fan Plant Quantitative Risk Assessment. Site Location. Mulry Square Fan Plant
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Capital Program Oversight Committee (CPOC) May 23, 2011 Alok Saha, P.E., Program Manager, CPM Infrastructure and Facilities – Line Equipment, Shops & Yard Mulry Square Fan Plant Quantitative Risk Assessment
Site Location Mulry Square Fan Plant Serving both 7th & 8th Avenue Subway Lines (local & express) * 2
Existing Site 7th Ave. Memorial Tiles Greenwich Ave. 7th Ave. Greenwich Ave. 3
PLENUM PLENUM Key Plan & Design Innovations • Use of Building Information Modeling (BIM) in project design • Relocated 7th Ave. Plenum to above the existing Subway structure • Reduced the Design Heat Load and # of fans • Preserve space for 9/11 memorial tiles display Parking Parking 7th Avenue Greenwich Avenue IRT 1, 2 & 3 trains IND A, C & E trains 4
Lessons Learned – Mitigated Risks(Building on the experiences of prior Fan Plant Projects) 5
Objectives of Risk Assessment • Confirm 80% confidence level in: • Project base cost estimate - $89.0M • Construction duration – 40 Months • Ensure a clear path to successful project delivery 8
Trend of Construction Duration & Cost (1990 – 2012 forecast) 9
Risk Drivers and Mitigations (cost and schedule savings) 10
Risk Based Project Cost & Schedule Overall Project Cost-Risk-Based-Cost Estimate Risk-Based Project Duration $89.0 40.0 $88.9 40.6 11
Cost and Schedule Savings *The total project cost includes bid, force accounts as well as other third party costs such as utilities and traffic agents 12