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Future of Marine Animal Populations

Future of Marine Animal Populations. Principal Investigators: Boris Worm, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS Heike Lotze, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS Ian Jonsen, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Bedford, NS Management, Education and Outreach:

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Future of Marine Animal Populations

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  1. Future of Marine Animal Populations Principal Investigators: Boris Worm, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS Heike Lotze, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS Ian Jonsen, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Bedford, NS Management, Education and Outreach: Catherine Muir, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS

  2. Synthesis Plan: Three Streams (1) DIVERSITY: Global biodiversity patterns (Lead: Boris Worm) (2) DISTRIBUTION: Animal movements (Lead: Ian Jonsen) (3) ABUNDANCE: Long-term trends (Lead: Heike Lotze)

  3. Diversity: Approach

  4. Diversity: Results Large fish Mammals Zooplankton Source: Worm & Lotze (2009) In: Letcher T (ed) Climate and global change: observed impacts on Planet Earth. Elsevier, in press

  5. Diversity: Predictions Source: Whitehead et al. (2008) Ecol. Lett. 11:1198–1207

  6. Distribution: Approach

  7. Distribution: Results Source: Jonsen & James, in preparation

  8. Abundance: Approach

  9. Abundance: Results Source: Lotze & Worm B (2009) Trends Ecol. Evol., in press

  10. Visualization & Communication Source: Time magazine, Nov. 2006

  11. Societal Impacts: Policy Briefings Sources: Worm & VanderZwaag (2007) Behind the headlines Vol. 64 Lotze et al. (2008) UNESCO-SCOPE-UNEP Policy Brief

  12. Societal Impacts: Media and Public Policy Source: The New York Times, Nov. 2008

  13. Limits to Knowledge • Data availability, especially for poorly known species groups • Future predictions fraught with uncertainty • Human behavior • How new technologies might help: • Ongoing database efforts (OBIS, NCEAS) • Ocean tracking network (OTN) • Wild, inspired guessing (WIG)

  14. The Ocean’s Future: half full or half empty?

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