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Effective Energy Management. Effective Energy Management. Develop baseline Plant energy balance Lean energy analysis (LEA) Take action Identify and quantify energy saving opportunities Prioritize energy saving opportunities Implement energy saving opportunities
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Effective Energy Management • Develop baseline • Plant energy balance • Lean energy analysis (LEA) • Take action • Identify and quantify energy saving opportunities • Prioritize energy saving opportunities • Implement energy saving opportunities • Measure and benchmark to sustain efforts • Develop metrics for system energy efficiency • Measure energy efficiency improvement with sliding NAC and EI • Compare energy efficiency between facilities with NAC and EI
Energy Use Baseline Plant energy balance Map energy use throughout the plant Statistical analysis (Lean Energy Analysis) Understand drivers of energy use
Estimate Equipment Electricity and Fuel Use • 1) Estimate energy use from: • rated power • frac loaded • operating hours • 2) Calibrate sum against measured total energy use
Plant Energy Balances • Use plant energy balances to: • Identify biggest energy users • Prioritize action plans • Calibrate savings estimates
Statistical ‘Lean Energy Analysis’ • Quantifying relationship between: • Energy • Production • Weather by developing simple statistical models • Deriving actionable information from models
Actual Temperature Data http://www.engr.udayton.edu/weather
Electricity vs Toa: 3PC R2 = 0.67 CV-RMSE = 6.4%
Electricity vs Production: 2P R2 = 0.32 CV-RMSE = 9.2%
Electricity vs Toa: 3PC-MVR R2 = 0.82 CV-RMSE = 5.1%
Elec = Ind + Wea-dep + Prod-dep E (kWh/dy) = 41,589 (kWh/dy) + 361.159 (kWh/dy-F) x [Toa (F) – 30.7093 (F)]+ + 2.4665 (kWh/dy-unit) x P (units) Independent = 41,589 (kWh/dy) Wea-dep = 361.16 (kWh/dy-F) x [Toa (F) – 30.71 (F)]+ Prod-dep = 2.4665 (kWh/dy-unit) x P (units)
Disaggregate Electricity Use Electricity Weather = 10% Production = 39% Independent = 51% Temperature
Fuel Use vs Toa: 3PH R2 = 0.92 CV-RMSE = 7.5%
Fuel Use vs Toa: 3PH-MVR R2 = 0.97 CV-RMSE = 5.1%
Fuel Use = Ind + Wea-dep + Prod-dep Fuel Use (mcf/dy) = 59.58 (mcf/dy) + 9.372 (mcf/dy-F) x [62.06 (F) - Toa (F)]+ + 0.0199 (mcf/dy-unit) x P (units) Independent = 59.58 (mcf/dy) Wea-dep = 9.372 (mcf/dy-F) x [62.06 (F) - Toa (F)]+ Prod-dep = 0.0199 (mcf/dy-unit) x P (units)
Disaggregate Fuel Use Fuel Weather = 28% Production = 58% Independent = 14% Temperature
‘Lean Energy Analysis’ Called “lean energy” analysis because of its synergy with the principles of “lean manufacturing”. In lean manufacturing, “any activity that does not add value to the product is waste”. Similarly, “any energy that does not add value to a product or the facility is also waste”.
Quantified “Leaness” of Electricity Use Electricity “Independent” is energy not added to product. Perfectly “lean” when Ind = 0 Weather = 10% Production = 39% Independent = 51% Temperature
Quantified “Leaness” of Fuel Use Fuel “Independent” is energy not added to product. Perfectly “lean” when Ind = 0 Weather = 28% Production = 58% Independent = 14% Temperature
Using ‘Lean Energy Analysis’ To Discover Savings Opportunities LEA Indicators of Savings Opportunities High “Independent” indicates waste Departure from expected shape High scatter indicates poor control
Large Independent Fuel Use Identifies Insulation Opportunities • 50% of fuel use by holding furnaces • Insulate furnaces and switch to coreless furnaces
Departure From Expected Shape Identifies Malfunctioning Economizers Air conditioning electricity use should flatten below 50 F Audit found malfunctioning economizers
High Data ScatterIdentifies Control Opportunities • Observation:heating energy varies by 3x at same temp • Discovery: didn’t close shipping doors
High Heating Slope Identifies Excess Ventilation • Turn off excess exhaust air fans reduces vent by 13,000 cfm • Lowers heating slope, balance temperature, and fuel use
Lean Energy Analysis Quick, accurate disaggregation of energy use: Quantifies non-value added energy Helps identify savings opportunities Provides an accurate baseline for measuring the effectiveness of energy management efforts over time.
Take Action • Identify and quantify saving opportunities • Prioritize saving opportunities • Implement saving opportunities
Identify and Quantify Saving Opportunities • Identifying energy saving opportunities • Use “Integrated Systems + Principles Approach (ISPA) • Quantifying energy savings: may consider • Equipment vendors (compressed air, boiler, etc.) • Energy savings performance contractor (ESPC) • Independent energy audit
Prioritize Saving Opportunities • Multiple filters • Financial return on investment • Rank versus other energy saving opportunities • Rank versus other requests for capital • Risk • Consistent with other priorities • Available and knowledgeable staff to manage project
Implement Savings Opportunities • Management commitment • Maintenance commitment • Operator commitment
Measurement and Benchmarking • Sustaining energy efficiency efforts requires that effectiveness of past efforts be accurately evaluated. • Verify the performance of past energy-efficiency efforts • Inform the selection of future energy-efficiency initiatives • Help develop energy-efficiency targets • Measurement • Use LEA model to measure savings • Benchmarking • Use LEA model to compare facilities benchmarking
Measure Weather-Normalized and Production-Normalized Energy Savings Savings Pre-retrofit Post-retrofit
Track Weather-Normalized and Production-Normalized Energy Use (NAC) Solid Line: NAC Annual Consumption increased 17%. NAC increased 6% Plant energy efficiency decreased 6%. Dashed Line: Actual Consumption
Track Weather-Normalized and Production-Normalized Energy Intensity (NEI) Normalized Energy Intensity decreased 5.4%.
Benchmarking Comparing energy performance across multiple sites Benchmark best/worst NAC and change in NAC Benchmark best/worst coefficients and change in coefficients
The Big Picture: Electricity NAC and DNAC for 14 Facilities DNAC NAC
More Detail: Ei and DEi Best candidates for lighting retrofits DEi Ei
More Detail: Tb and DTb DTB Best candidates for controls retrofits TB
More Detail: CS and DCS Best candidates for HVAC retrofits DCS CS
Effective Energy Management: Summary Develop baseline Plant energy balance (breakdown) Lean energy analysis (drivers) Take action Identify and quantify energy saving opportunities Prioritize and implement energy saving opportunities Implement energy saving opportunities Measure and benchmark to sustain efforts Use LEA models to measure energy efficiency improvement Compare energy efficiency between facilities