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Harry S. Dent, Jr. HS Dent Advisors Network July 2010 Conference Call. Key Economic Indicator #1 Weekly Leading Index. May 10. Dec 07. Jan 09. Sep 09. Nov 08. The WLI forecasts economic growth approximately 7 months into the future. Jul 09. Source: ECRI.
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Harry S. Dent, Jr.HS Dent Advisors NetworkJuly 2010 Conference Call
Key Economic Indicator #1 Weekly Leading Index May 10 Dec 07 Jan 09 Sep 09 Nov 08 The WLI forecasts economic growth approximately 7 months into the future. Jul 09 Source: ECRI
ECRI Weekly Leading Index vs. Conference Board Leading Index Source: Bloomberg, Conference Board
Key Economic Indicator #2 Daily Growth Index Source: Consumerindexes.com
New Home Sales Seasonally Adjusted Jan 1963 - May 2010 Source: Census.gov
Foreclosure % by Segment Jumbo Prime Conforming
The Delinquent Wealthy Owner Occupied Mortgage Greater than $1 Million Mortgage Less than $1 Million Source: “Biggest Defaulters on Mortgages Are the Rich” New York Times, July 9, 2010
The Delinquent Wealthy Second Home Mortgage Greater than $1 Million Mortgage Less than $1 Million Source: “Biggest Defaulters on Mortgages Are the Rich” New York Times, July 9, 2010
The Delinquent Wealthy Investor Owned Mortgage Greater than $1 Million Mortgage Less than $1 Million Source: “Biggest Defaulters on Mortgages Are the Rich” New York Times, July 9, 2010
Commercial Property Sales% Change from Last Year Source: IBD, page A6, July 9, 2010
Commercial Property Sales% Change from Last Year Source: IBD, page A6, July 9, 2010
Commercial Property Sales% Change from Last Year Source: IBD, page A6, July 9, 2010
China Commercial Property Sales Source: IBD, page A6, July 9, 2010
Key Economic Indicator #6Money Supply Measures - M3 Annual Money Supply Growth Source: Shadow Stats Source: St. Louis Fed, SGS
The Velocity of MoneyGDP to Adjusted Monetary Base Source: St. Louis Fed, US BEA
NYSE Oscillator Source: Haysadvisory.com
S&P 500 Sentiment Source: Trade-Futures.com
Dollar Index Sentiment Source: Trade-Futures.com
Dow IndustrialsScenario 2 B a c 5 2 3 b 1 1 4 2 4 3 3800 -5000 Source: Yahoo Finance