WP 09 Monitoring & Forecasting Centre for Mediterranean sea Marina Tonani-WP9 Leader

1. WP 09Monitoring & Forecasting Centre for Mediterranean seaMarina Tonani-WP9 Leader

2. Reminder - Partnership INGV 16 partners 9 countries wp9@myocean.eu.org

3. INGV,USAM,OGS HCMR MERCATOR Reminder - Objectives forR&D • Main objective was • Main issues Med-MFC-currents Med-MFC-biogeochemistry Specify Design Develop the Mediterranean system V0-V1-V2 • Backup system at HCMR • Wave-currents interactions upgrades in NEMO (HCMR-INGV) • Atmospheric pressure term in NEMO (INGV) • Tools for the production of re-analisys (INGV) • DEMO-High resolution atmospheric forcing (INGV-USAM) • DEMO-Super-ensemble method (MERCATOR-INGV-HCMR) Med-MFC-currents Higher frequency of the production of the forecast (OGS) Data assimilation of biogeochemical data (OGS-INGV) Med-MFC-biogeochemistry

4. R&D : main achievements • Main achievements are • Med-currents: first step of wave-current interaction (introduction of the roughness in the computation of the wind stress drag coeff.) developed and tested (Operational V1) • Development of re-analysis tool (Ongoing production for V2 release) • Back-up system for Med-currents (Operational in V1) • Initialization of the Med-currents V1 system from climatology starting from year 1997 (V1 system) • Med-biogeochemistry off-line coupled with Med-currents V1 (V0 was off-line coupled in the “before MyO” Med-currents system not into Med-currents V0) (Operational in V1) • Med-biogeochemistry with new BC (rivers, atmosphere and light extinction factor) and Phosphorous co-limitation parameterization (Operational in V1) • Increase in the production frequency for Med-biogeochemistry, from weekly to bi-weekly (Operational in V1) • Development and test of atm. pressure term in NEMO code (Operational V2) • Development of Chl data assimilation in Med-biogeochemistry (Operational in V2) • Med-currents: second step of wave-current interaction (insertion of theCoriolis- Stokes term in the P.E. of NEMO) preliminary studies and results

5. R&D : main achievements • Remaining activities (in progress) • Med-currents: second step of wave-current interaction (insertion of theCoriolis- Stokes term in the P.E. of NEMO P.E.) full development • Med-biogeochemistry: data assimilation of Chl fully tested • Med-currents DEMO: Super-ensemble method for melding of three basin scale forecasting systems, Krishnamurti approach experiments and assessment of the results • Med-currents DEMO: high resolution atmospheric forcing experiments and assessment of the results

6. INGV,USAM,OGS HCMR Reminder - Objectives forDev. & Maintenance • Objectives • Carry out the Implementation Phase for the Med-MFC and develop Initial Operational Procedures, IOP • Steps • Development and maintainment of HW and SW infrastructures for production • Overall production and service monitoring and reporting • Upgrading capabilities • Upgrade, deliver and validate in operational mode the V1-V2 systems following WP2 and Cal/Val protocols

7. Dev. & Maint. : main achievements • Main achievements are • Med-currents and Med-biogeochemistry V1 system with all the WP2-WP16-WP17 required functionalities implemented on time • Implementation of all the components needed for the back-up system (in particular: establishment of a connection from INGV-nominal system to HCMR-back-up system for the daily delivery of the I.C.) • Med-biogoechemistry off line coupled with Med-currents: operational transition from “before MyO” to MyO V1 physical forcing • Transition from V0 to V1 for SST-TAC and INS-TAC products (now Med-MFC is connected to the Med-portal) • ALL the Dev. & Maint. operation have been performed in agreement with the PC protocols defined in the delivered documentation for V1 and following the MyOcean requirements • Main difficulties • Adaptation to the MyOcean standard and procedure. Production of all the required documentation • Remaining tasks • Transition from Vo to V1 for SLA products from SL-TAC • V2 implementation

8. INGV,USAM,OGS HCMR Reminder - Objectives forProduction • Objectives Ensure production & archiving Med-MFC-current & biogeochemistryproducts Cal/val products Re-analysis of Med-MFC-current & biogeochemistry Following WP2-WP16 service protocols for V0-V1-V2 • Products* MFC-BIOGEOCHEMISTRY MFC-CURRENT * daily and bi-weekly production respectively for Med-currents and Med-biogeochemistry

9. Production : main achievements • Main achievements are • Dissemination of all the due products for V1 via MIS-GateWay and for Med-currents via FTP (on demand) • Standard names for the netCDF files following the recommendation of MyOcean and harmonization of the nomenclature between Med-currents and Med-biogeochemistry • Med-biogeochemistry: addition of nutrients fields to the pool of products • Statistics of users in V0 and V1 (see WP17 presentation for details) • Set-up of a PC Service Desk: connection point with all the DU/PU and with the Central Service Desk. Incident, RFC and notification procedure in place • Back-up system in terms of PU and DU • Delivery of Specific Core Products to EEA: SST forecast maps • MIS-GW delivery system performance tests • Remaining objectives • V1 stream 2 update of the system (e.g. addition of “DirectGetFile” functionality in MIS-GW) • V2 products and integration

10. HCMR, NKUA IOLR UMT-IOI-POU OC-UCY CSIC, PUERTOS IFREMER CNR.ISPRA,OGS,INGV CNR.ISPRA,OGS,INGV NIB IMS-METU IMS-METU Reminder - Objectives forCal / Val • Objectives • Develop a network-based validation system for Med-MFC products using local data sets and/or other existing models • Steps • ftp network to collect every week all the obs and model data at INGV • software developed ad-hoc for obs and model data intercomparison and visualization. This SW should be shared with all the CalVal partners and if possible interfaced with MyOcean Cal/Val system • Data policy is established by MOON-DEA and MyO for both observational and model data in order to involve all the MOON partners • Issues • Q/C for observations to be used in Cal/Val • Connection with WP15 • Format of Cal/Val data (obs & model)

11. Cal/Val : main achievements • Main achievements are • NRT CalVal network established. NRT diagnostic (Med-currents analysis and forecast vs. moored buoys and satellite SST) available on the web (http://gnoo.bo.ingv.it/myocean/calval ), weekly update • NRT Chl evaluation for Med-biogeochemistry available on the web (http://gnoo.bo.ingv.it/myocean/calval/bgc/), weekly update • Long time series evaluation for Med-currents (http://gnoo.bo.ingv.it/mfs/myocean/evaluation.html), weekly update • Multi-annual qualitative comparison, spatial aggregated and temporal aggregated statistis for Med-biogeochemistry • NRT model intercomparison at moored buoy location between Med-currents and some of the MOON nested sub-regional and coastal forecasting systems. Definition of format and protocol of data exchange, development of the SW for the statistics and visualization, preliminary results available on the web (http://gnoo.bo.ingv.it/myocean/calval )

12. Cal/Val : main achievements • Main difficulties • Collection and management of needed information • Data exchange format and structure of the database • Comparison between model and tide-gauge • Remaining tasks • technical task : additional functionalities in the SW • inter-comparison with ALL the MOON nested forecasting systems • MyOcean cross-cutting CalVal activities

13. MainChallenges • Scientific Challenges • Med-MFC-biogeochemistrydata assimilation • Current-waveinteractions development: impact of waves on ocean circulation • Technical Challenges • Synchronization of the production among the different PUs • Operational Challenges • Provide the service on-time. Compliance with MyOcean protocols • Ultimate Challenges • High quality forecast capability

14. FutureChallenges • Scientific Challenges • Evaluation and assessment of V2 versus V1 system • Assessment of the Cal/Val network information • Technical Challenges • Further integration into the MyOcean system of systems • Delivery mechanism fully tested and assessed • Operational Challenges • Fulfillment of the user needs • Cross-cutting CalVal activities in place • More flexibility of the Catalog • Main Risks • Many goals to be achieved in short time

15. Calendar • Past (event, work or tasks achieved) : • May 2010: CIESM 39th Congress • December 2010: MyOcean Science days • December 2010: V1 stream 1 • March 2011: MyOcean Med Workshop joint with MOON Annual Assembly • Meetings and videoconf: Internal and with TAC’s • Future : • June 2011 ESF-MedClivar Conference • September 2011 : V2 system in pre-operational • December 2011 : V2

16. 1st reporting period : Budget ~ 2 mn • Figures will be provided by PMO as soon as your partners have finished reporting and will be added to your presentation. • Be ready to give short explanations on main deviances during your presentation... • We are talking about estimated budget (best estimates) !

17. Some illustrations… Thanksto Claudia Cesarini (clu) forfilming