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Afghanistan. Aconcagua Team. Geopolitics. Capital: Kabul Islamic republic president: Hamid Karzai. 28,150,000 inhabitants 9 ethnos GDP (2008): 21.388 billion $ (USA=14.441 trillion $ French= 2.850 trillion $ Pakistan =421 billion $). History. 1947: Pakistan republic 1978-1992 :
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Afghanistan Aconcagua Team
Geopolitics • Capital: Kabul • Islamic republic president: Hamid Karzai • 28,150,000 inhabitants • 9 ethnos • GDP (2008): 21.388 billion $ (USA=14.441 trillion $French= 2.850 trillion $Pakistan =421 billion $)
History 1947: Pakistan republic 1978-1992: URSS invasion (bipolar world) 1992-1996: Civil war 1997- 2001: Taliban's regime 2001: Last war in Afghanistan • Politic instability
Weakness • Poor system of irrigation • One river: Hari Rud • Old system of irrigation • Thin infrastructure • Railroad: 24,6 km • Road in bad condition • Corruption: ranking (Transparency international): 179/180 • Civil service • Police • Heterogeneous presence
Weakness • A narco country: Opium industry represent: • - 93% of the global traffic • - 70% of the Afghan GDP • Most of the production is based on the south-west of the country where Talibans are settled • Turnover: 4.4 Billion $
Weakness • Difficulty to do business
Weakness • International trade: Important administrative charges, important delay, very expensive • Few communication means especially before 2003
Threats • International militarypresence • Unstable and hazardous country • Rise of extremism and radicalism • Politic intrusion « Les régionsabsolumentdéconseilléessontindiquées en rouge » Indications in the website of the French ministry of foreign affairs
Problem of the talibans 8 years after the beginning of the war: situation extremely risky Rise of the guerilla Government is not recognized
Strengths • Natural resources: Coal, metals (iron, copper, gold, zinc, lithium,…), precious and semiprecious stones, oil, gas. • Favorable climate for agriculture. • Fecondity rate • Economic growth: GDP growth : >7.5% since 2002 Supported by commercial banks (new bank system)
Strengths • No direct tax on profits • No social tax • Easy employment (very few social rules)
Opportunities • Strategic geographical situation: crossroads of Middle East, central Asia and Indian subcontinent • Development: • Natural resources • Infrastructures • Communication means since 2003 (Internet, wireless, phone) • International help
Thank you for your attention Any Questions?