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Security dynamics in East Asia: An emerging arms race?

Security dynamics in East Asia: An emerging arms race?. Group for R esearch and Information on Peace and Security . Bruno Hellendorff. Brussels, June 19 th 2013. Plan. 1. Context. Military Spending: regional and sub-regional comparison. American response. Smart power

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Security dynamics in East Asia: An emerging arms race?

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  1. Security dynamics in East Asia:An emerging arms race? Group for Research and Information on Peace and Security Bruno Hellendorff Brussels, June 19th 2013

  2. Plan

  3. 1. Context

  4. Military Spending: regional and sub-regional comparison

  5. American response • Smart power • “rebalancing” • JOAC

  6. Guam ANZUS

  7. Sino-US rivalry • Southeast Asia as a playing ground for geopolitical rivalry

  8. 2. Militaryspending in SE Asia(SIPRI database)

  9. USA China

  10. ConventionalArmsTransfers (SIPRI)

  11. 3. Discussion • South China sea disputes • Untold fears over the scope and aims of China’s military modernisation • Intra-regional potential antagonisms • Non-traditional security challenges • Domestic security challenges • Prestige • History…

  12. Institutionalbalancing • Multilateral institutions • Bilateralagreements • Official visits • Alliance politics • Militarybuild-up • Doctrines and policystatements • Joint military exercices Diplomacy Deterrence Negotiating power credibility

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