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SWFDP - 5 TH QUARTER CASE STUDY

SWFDP - 5 TH QUARTER CASE STUDY. LAVE VICTORIA BASIN THUNDERSHOWERS OF 31 ST DECEMBER, 2012. REALTIME SATELLITE IMAGERIES FROM EUMETSAT. ECMWF MSLP & PRECIPITATION PROBABBILITIES. UK LAM TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS . EA GUIDANCE MODELS. CONCLUSION.

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SWFDP - 5 TH QUARTER CASE STUDY

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  1. SWFDP - 5TH QUARTER CASE STUDY LAVE VICTORIA BASIN THUNDERSHOWERS OF 31ST DECEMBER, 2012

  2. REALTIME SATELLITE IMAGERIES FROM EUMETSAT

  3. ECMWF MSLP & PRECIPITATION PROBABBILITIES

  4. UK LAM TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS

  5. EA GUIDANCE MODELS

  6. CONCLUSION • Most models considered above showed some signal for precipitation around Lake Victoria, • Precipitation amounts did not attain the level of the RSMC – Nairobi threshold, • Extreme Forecast Index depicted nothing above the climate mean of the Lake Victoria region.

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