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National Centers for Environmental Prediction

National Centers for Environmental Prediction. “Where America’s Climate and Weather Services Begin”. NCEP Mission Statement.

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National Centers for Environmental Prediction

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  1. National Centers for Environmental Prediction “Where America’s Climate and Weather Services Begin”

  2. NCEP Mission Statement NCEP delivers national and global weather, climate, and water guidance, forecasts, warnings, and analyses to its NWS Partners and External User Communities. These products and services respond to user needs to protect life and property, enhance the nation’s economy, and support the nation’s environmental information database.

  3. NCEP Center Locations Space Environment Center Aviation Weather Center NCEP Central Operations Climate Prediction Center Environmental Modeling Center Hydrometeorological Prediction Center Ocean Prediction Center Tropical Prediction Center Storm Prediction Center

  4. Severe Storm Outlooks Fire Weather Outlooks Weather Forecasts to Day 7 Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts to 5 days Marine Weather Discussions Model Discussions Severe Weather Watches Hurricane Watches and Warnings Aviation Warnings (Convective, Turbulence, Icing) Climate Forecasts (Weekly to Seasonal to Interannual) Marine High Seas Forecasts Solar Monitoring – geomagnetic storm forecasts What Does NCEP Do? Guidance to Support WFO/RFC National Products • Model Development and Applications, including Data Assimilation • Ocean Models for Climate Prediction; Coastal Ocean Forecast System; Wave Models • Super Computer, Workstation and Network Operations

  5. NCEP’s Strategic Vision Striving to be America’s • First choice for global and national climate and weather analyses, forecasts and guidance • First alert for all climate and weather hazards • Preferred Partner in developing numerical models and new weather, water, climate and space weather products and services

  6. NCEP’s Future is Built Upon: • Climate-Weather-Water Linkages; for example • Seasonal Hurricane Outlooks & Extratropical Storm patterns • Meteorological-Hydrological forecasts • Ocean and atmosphere coupled forecasts • Atmosphere-Land Processes coupled forecasts • “Seamless Suite” of products through a collaborative approach • Extension of predictability of Weather and Climate (from snowstorms to ENSO); Improve the forecasts of Extreme Events • Community Model Approach – Common Model Infrastructure • Addressing uncertainty in forecasts – Ensemble modeling NEW • Collaborative Forecasting; Unified Model Infrastructure

  7. Driving ForcesMission Enhancements

  8. Employment Situation • Employment situation • Total of 375 Civil Servants; 131 contractors; 24 visitors • Currently have 6 Student Interns (SCEP/STEP); 2 volunteers • During the last 12 months • 33 CS vacancies; 6 SCEPs; • Hired 28 contractors • 7 new visiting scientists • 14 Summer Hires (ORISE, GoHFAS, NOAA Educational Partnership Programs) • Projected growth through ’08: 50 – 60 (contractors/visiting scientists/postdocs) • Employment information (vacancies, internships, etc.) • http://www.rdc.noaa.gov/~hrmo/jobs.htm

  9. NCEP Productshttp://www.ncep.noaa.gov Hydrometeorological Prediction Center http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ Tropical Prediction Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Ocean Prediction Center http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/ Climate Prediction Center http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ Storm Prediction Center http://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Aviation Weather Center http://aviationweather.gov/ Space Environment Center http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ncep/

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