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Sales Update. DeCA West. Ms. Michelle Frost Chief, Semi-Perishables. End of Cheap Food?. Healthcare costs Oil price surge Weak dollar Weather Drought in Australia Flooding in Argentina Demand China beef consumption has doubled Impact of ethanol. Sustainability?.
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Sales Update DeCA West Ms. Michelle Frost Chief, Semi-Perishables
End of Cheap Food? • Healthcare costs • Oil price surge • Weak dollar • Weather • Drought in Australia • Flooding in Argentina • Demand • China beef consumption has doubled • Impact of ethanol
Sustainability? Corn 2.5 lbs corn = 1lb poultry It takes 800 gallons of water per person per day to produce daily food intake It takes 450 lbs of corn to produce enough ethanol to fill an SUV gas tank 7 lbs corn = 1lb beef 1,500 gls water = 1lb beef Water
Consumer Impact • FMI Trend Reports • 71% increase in home cooking frequency • 67% buying fewer luxury items • 60% buying more store brands • Value will be focus • Fewer trips to secondary stores • Fewer trips = STOCK UP
Retail Shift • New outlets • Supercenters, 70% • Dollar stores, 64% • Losing ground • Drug channel, -3% • Grocery, -6%. • Same store dollar sales declined as well
Defining Trends • Four trends will shape the retail operating environment the remainder of this decade: • Aging population • Increasing ethnic diversity • Need for speed • Health & wellness concerns • Opportunities products, alterations to the store (lighting, store set) accommodate older shoppers’ limitations
The Three Ps • Manufacturers trying to keep pace with new items • Portability • Preparation simplicity • Preparation time • New product concepts must respond to speed-of-life issues without sacrificing flavor
Fastest-Growing Categories >$1 Billion • Drinkable yogurt • Fresh fish/shellfish & seafood • Alcoholic cider • Ready-to-eat salads • Baby formula • Dairy-based drinks • Source: executive news report from nielsen global services, december 2006
New Team Members • Brad McMinn – Chief, Perishable • Barbara Merriweather – Category Manager, Local/DSD • Bridegt Bennett – HQ Produce Specialist
Promotions • Total items published reduced 21% • Dollar Sales Per SKU + 5% • Units Per SKU + 7% • Increase Pallets/Shippers • Incorporate Club Packs • Averaging $6.8 million per month • $2 million per month increase • Seasonal Programs + $9 million
Front End Racks • Fixtures have been selected • Currently • Developing stock assortment • Surveying stores select type of fixtures • 60 days to manufacture equipment • Phased implementation - September
Check It Out • Shoppers choosing self-checkout: • Wal-Mart (45%) • Kroger (43%) • Target (40%) • Publix (28%) • Costco (26%) • Whole Foods (14%) • Safeway (13%) • Meijer (11%) • Albertson’s (11%).
Space Allocation – Bragg North • Today little variance in plan-o-grams • Based on historic sales data • Sets based on class of store • No factor for lost sales or promoted volume • Reduce space in declining categories • Fewer items = IN STOCK • Reconfigure flow to maximize allocation efficiencies
Organic Options • Organic food sales represent just 2.5% • Organics grew 30% in 2007 • Grown roughly 20% per year for past five years • Grocery annual sales grew 3–5% overall • Organic food sales predicted to double as early as 2009 • Organic offerings in personal care, nutritional supplements, household cleaners, and pet food
Focused on “Green” Efforts • Sales of Bar Coded Organic Products • # Items up 17% in last 12 months (June-May) – from 540 to 635 • Sales for June-May period up 35% over prior year to 34.4 m • Environmental Initiatives Reusable grocery bags sold starting 10/30/2007 • 1,252,864 sold thru 06/23/2008 • Compact fluorescent light (CFL) bulbs, FY 08 Goal: 1 Million • 878,105 sold FYTD – thru 06/23/2008
Expand Benefit - Access G/R • Developing staff office for support • Serve as single POC for store support • Logistics • Communication • Transportation • Equipment • Develop “Virtual Solution” • Internet ordering – on site payment • Develop total solution to include payment • Expand – self fulfillment
Retail Perspective • Consumers are plugged into technology • Logging on to plan trips search for restaurants and socialize • Top 15 web domains • eBay.com, 1st • Amazon.com, 5th • Target.com, 12th • Wal-Mart.com, 15th
Thank You! Ms. Michelle Frost Chief, Semi-Perishables