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Going on Offense. Rebuilding America. General Approach. Wobbly. Win Over Next. Strong. Opposition. Shore Up First. Leave for Later. Fundamentals. The Seasons for Growing. REJECTION RATIO FOR THE U.S.- 2010. The Moynihan Report (1965) :
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Going on Offense Rebuilding America
General Approach Wobbly Win Over Next Strong Opposition Shore Up First Leave for Later
REJECTION RATIO FOR THE U.S.- 2010 The Moynihan Report (1965): The Negro Family: The Case for National Action
% “Unskilled” Not Working: US Total (Males) single Cohab Married Married single Cohab
% Professional Class (Males) “Not Working” - US Total Unemployed single Cohab Married Fraction of Occupation Class Married single Cohab
Retreat from Marriage:Black Men (25-54)Unemployment DifferentialsMarriage (pink) andnon-Marriage (blue)
Source Antovics, K. & Town, R. Am Econ Review V 94, (2004) pp 317-321 $127 140 Marriage Premium in Male Income $100 120 100 80 Comparative Income % $27 60 + = 40 20 0 Average Unmarried Male Premium Average Married Male
Same Parents If Married Unmarried Parents 3.17 Million Children 3.93 Million Children Out ofPoverty InPoverty Children in Poverty 0.75 Million Children Source R Rector (Heritage Fdn) : Analysis of CPS 2001
Of All Black Children (100%): % in Poverty or Not by Married or Unmarried Parents MARRIED NOT-MARRIED 40 35 30 25 20 IN POVERTY 15 10 5 0 Married Not in Poverty Married In Poverty Not Married Not in Poverty Not Married In Poverty NOT IN POVERTY Source: Bureau of the Census, Current Population Survey, 1998
Expulsion & Suspension Source: Adolescent Health Survey, Wave I. Adolescents grade 7-12.
Number of Sex Partners for Girls 1.55 1.60 1.40 1.14 1.20 0.93 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.47 0.40 0.20 ANY REJECTION 0.00 INTACT/COHABIT(NATURAL) <MONTHLY/NEVER WEEKLY/MONTHLY+
Running Away By Family Structure and Religious Practice Source: Adolescent Health Survey, Wave I. Adolescents grade 7-12. 13.1% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.5% 8.1% 8.0% Percent Who Had Ever Run Away 6.0% 5.2% 4.0% 2.0% ANY REJECTION 0.0% INTACT/COHABIT(NATURAL) <MONTHLY/NEVER WEEKLY/MONTHLY+
Self Control: Hard Drug Use Source: Adolescent Health Survey, Wave I. Adolescents grade 7-12.
GPA English/Math by Family Structure Source: Adolescent Health Survey, Wave I. Adolescents grade 7-12. 2.90 2.9 2.80 2.70 2.6 Average GPA Enligsh/Math Combined 2.6 2.6 2.60 2.5 2.5 2.50 2.40 2.30 INTACT STEP COHABIT (BOTH COHABIT (ONE DIVORCED NEVER MARRIED NATURAL) NATURAL)
Source: Adolescent Health Survey, Wave I. Adolescents grade 7-12. GPA (English & Math) by Religious Practice 2.90 2.9 2.85 2.80 2.8 2.75 2.70 2.7 Average GPA Enligsh/Math Combined 2.65 2.6 2.60 2.55 2.50 2.45 WEEKLY+ MONTHLY+ <MONTHLY NEVER
Black Men (25-54) Marriage by Education Level College Grads Professionals / Grad School HS Grads
The More Sexual Partners the More Likely to Abort Source NSFG 1995 60 52 50 43 39 40 34 31 Percent who have abortions later 30 25 19 18 20 12 8 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6-10 11-15 16-20 21+ NUMBER OF NON MARITAL SEXUAL PARTNERS IN LIFETIME
Non-Marital Sexual Partners and Out-of-Wedlock Births Source: CDC, National Center for Health Statistics, National Survey of Family Growth, 1995 60% 55.21% 49.99% 49.89% 49.45% 47.55% 50% 44.02% 42.66% 40.02% 40% 32.89% Percent of Sexually Active Women Aged 15-44 with Children 30% 20% 16.29% 10% 1.71% 0% Virgin at Had Pre- 1 2 3 4 5 6-10. 11-15. 16-20 21+ Time of Marital Sex First with First Marriage Husband Number of Lifetime Voluntary Non-Marital Sexual Partners
Non-Marital Sexual Partners And Single Motherhood Source: CDC, National Center for Health Statistics, National Survey of Family Growth, 1995 60% 56.98% 53.07% 50.30% 48.13% 50% 47.03% 44.16% 38.81% 40% 36.48% 30.21% Percent of Sexually Active women Aged 15-44 with Children 30% 20% 10% 7.09% 0% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6-10. 11-15. 16-20 21+ Number of Lifetime Non-Marital Sexual Partners