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Overview of PARIMA/LEWS Collaboration 2001-2003

Overview of PARIMA/LEWS Collaboration 2001-2003. First Component: Livestock Offtake Second Component: Spatial Analysis. LEWS: Livestock Early Warning. LEWS is also funded by GL-CRSP Led by Texas A&M University, U.S.A.

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Overview of PARIMA/LEWS Collaboration 2001-2003

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  1. Overview of PARIMA/LEWS Collaboration 2001-2003 First Component: Livestock Offtake Second Component: Spatial Analysis

  2. LEWS: Livestock Early Warning • LEWS is also funded by GL-CRSP • Led by Texas A&M University, U.S.A. • LEWS investigates possible early warning predictors for livestock condition, range condition, and rainfall to encourage timely sales

  3. Question and Objective • Question: How to convert a larger share of pastoral livestock mortality into sales to better conserve wealth? • Objective: Identify feasible interventions that might induce more sales at early stages of drought

  4. Two Inter-related Issues • What factors limit livestock off-take during stress periods ? • What interventions might foster more responsive livestock off-take under today’s conditions of increased system stress?

  5. Alternative Hypotheses • Lack of information? (no information on prices, animal or range condition, -- also due to lack of communications) • Complex ownership rights? (hard to sell your father’s animal even if you need to) • Low prices (poor market power) • Poor infrastructure and high insecurity

  6. Hypotheses, continued • No need or alternative use for money (let them die) • Stock too valuable to sell early and replace later (gamble I will survive until the next rains come, so hang on and hope for the best result) • Tenurial regimes a problem (if I sell I lose access to grazing and water resources) • Cross-border policy constraints and quarantines severely limit trade

  7. Break-Out Groups • Based on your experience and logic, which hypotheses do you feel explain the low off-take from pastoral systems? What then is your priority intervention? • Your group needs to rank your top 3 hypotheses (#1 the strongest, #2 next strongest, and #3 next strongest)

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