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Samir Mili, CSIC, Madrid Boubaker Karray, IO, Tunisia

Explore expert assessments and model estimates from the 2007 Euro-Med Annual Meeting on the effects of trade liberalization on EU olive oil imports. Analyze importing regimes, tariff quotas, market concentration, production chain structure, and extraction facilities. Delve into CAPRI and DELPHI results to assess Olive Oil potential and export capacity in Tunisia.

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Samir Mili, CSIC, Madrid Boubaker Karray, IO, Tunisia

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  1. EU-Med Agpol Annual Meeting Euro-Med Trade Liberalization Impacts on EuropeanOlive Oil Paris, 15-16 March 2007 Samir Mili, CSIC, Madrid Boubaker Karray, IO, Tunisia

  2. We have : • Delphi Tunisia estimates • CAPRI model estimates • EU expert assessments

  3. 3 Importing Regimes • Preferential tariffs and quotas regime • Inward processing regime (No quantitative impact on EU domestic supply) • Normal (MFN) regime

  4. Olive Oil Tariff Quotas Granted to Third Countries

  5. World Olive Oil Market Aggregate Figures 1990–2006 • Only extra-EU-15 • Average compound rate

  6. Market Share Concentration in the EU Olive Oil Industry (%)

  7. Marketingat origin/storage Milling and storage Refining Bottling/Canning Marketing/Export Refining facilities Mills Olive oil Co-operative mills Refining facilities-bottling plants Marketing at origin/storage Milling and storage Bottling/Canning Marketing/Export Structure of Olive Oil Production and Marketing Chain Mills Virgin olive oil Co-operative MilIs Bottling/canning plants Large trading enterprises at origin Extraction of olive pomace Milling and storage Refining Bottling/Canning Marketing/Export Extraction facilities Refining facilities Mills Olive pomace oil Mills-Extraction facilities Refining facilities- bottling plants Extraction and refining facilities

  8. CAPRI Results Olive Oil (1)

  9. CAPRI Results Olive Oil (2)

  10. DELPHI Results Tunisia (1) OLIVE OIL PRODUCTION POTENTIAL

  11. DELPHI Tunisia Scenarios

  12. DELPHI Results Tunisia (2) OLIVE OIL EXPORT POTENTIAL (1000 t)

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