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VOX Global Mandate 2008 Election Analysis

VOX Global Mandate 2008 Election Analysis. Miami, Florida November 14, 2008. The Old Political Landscape : 2004 Electoral Map. The New Political Landscape : 2008 Electoral Map. Key Exit Poll Data from 2008 Presidential Election. By virtually every electoral measure –

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VOX Global Mandate 2008 Election Analysis

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  1. VOX Global Mandate2008 Election Analysis Miami, Florida November 14, 2008

  2. The Old Political Landscape:2004 Electoral Map

  3. The New Political Landscape: 2008 Electoral Map

  4. Key Exit Poll Data from 2008 Presidential Election • By virtually every electoral measure – • including age, sex, race, religion, income and region – • McCain lost ground won by George W. Bush four years ago • Barack Obama won overwhelmingly among blacks, Hispanics and voters under the age of 30 and he made critical inroads with swing groups like Catholics, suburbanites, political independents and even veterans • Hispanic voters represented greatest electoral shift. • Nationwide, they voted 67% for Obama and 31% for McCain. • In 2004, 53% went for John Kerry and • 44% voted for George W. Bush

  5. A Revolutionary Campaign • Thomas Jefferson used newspapers to win the presidency • F.D.R. used radio to change the way he governed • J.F.K. was the first president to understand television • Barack Obama used the web to win a campaign • by building a grassroots movement, raising money, communicating directly with voters, creating a sense of engagement, and cultivating a political brand

  6. A New Platform for Governing • Obama's campaign has over10 million email addresses, which is allows him to directly communicate with more than 16% of his national supporters based on popular vote. • This dwarfs the audience of all of the nightly cable news shows combined • More than 1.5 million supporterssigned up for the campaign’s social network, myBarackObama.com • Obama’s volunteers used the Web to organize more than • 150,000 campaign-related events

  7. “The Bush campaign arrived at the White House with a conviction that it would continue a conservative revolution with the help of Karl Rove’s voter lists, phone banks and direct mail.” “…But those tools were crude and expensive compared with what the Obama camp is bringing to the Oval Office.” A New Wired Presidency - “How Obama Tapped into Social Networks Power,” David Carr, NYTimes, 11/9/08

  8. www.change.gov

  9. “Victory has a thousand fathers, but defeat is an orphan” Unions, Hispanic groups, the Netroots, progressive organizing coalitions, single women, working women, youth, the religious left and others claim to have played a vital role in electing Barack Obama

  10. The New Congress • At least seven new Senators (5 Democrats, 2 Republicans), and three races (AK, GA, and MN) that are too close to call • At least 49 new House Members (30 Democrats, 19 Republicans) and 5 races that are too close to call • Moderate Republicans and Democrats in the Senate will be incredibly influential and powerful during the next two years

  11. A look at the States: 2008 Ballot Initiativesin Arizona and Ohio • “ Vote May Be The End of Payday Lenders” • (Arizona Republic, November 10, 2008) • “Voters Have Spoken on Payday Loans” • (Arizona Republic, November 13, 2008) • “No Payday for Lenders Election Day” • (Akron Beacon Journal, November 9, 2008)

  12. ''We are facing the greatest economic challenge • of our lifetime, and we're going to have • to act swiftly to resolve it.'‘ • - Barack Obama, • quoted in New York Times, • November 11, 2008

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