1 / 17

Keegan Moyer Associate Staff Engineer

Keegan Moyer Associate Staff Engineer. LTPT 2032 Reference Case Data June 19 th , 2012 DWG Meeting (webinar). 2032 Reference Case Data Assumptions . Resources Capital costs (focus for today) = E3 Gen characteristics Solar/Wind capacity factors = NREL data Loads Transmission

carnig
Download Presentation

Keegan Moyer Associate Staff Engineer

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Keegan MoyerAssociate Staff Engineer LTPT 2032 Reference Case Data June 19th, 2012 DWG Meeting (webinar)

  2. 2032 Reference CaseData Assumptions • Resources • Capital costs (focus for today) = E3 • Gen characteristics • Solar/Wind capacity factors = NREL data • Loads • Transmission • Network reduction • Modeling assumptions

  3. Loads Shape • 2005 historical hourly load shapes Energy • 2021 Balancing Authority (BA) load forecasts reported to WECC, extrapolated to 2022 • Adjusted for expected impact of current energy efficiency policies and programs not accounted for in the BA load forecasts • Adjustments provided by the SPSC DSM WG • WECC-wide forecasts reduced by an additional 3.2% (energy) and 5.0% (peak demand), relative to initial BA forecasts WECC-wide CAGR (2010-2021) = 1.4% (energy), 1.3% (peak) WECC-wide 2022 demand = 999,119 GWh (energy), 174,109 MW(peak)

  4. Resources Gen characteristics • Solar/Wind capacity factors = NREL data

  5. Capacity Factors from NREL DataSupply Curve 10-Year Studies 2032 Ref. Case Capacity Factor (%) WREZ Capacity 0 30 60 … MW

  6. Capacity Factors from NREL Data 10-Year Studies 2032 Ref. Case Capacity Factor (%) 0 30 60 … WREZ Capacity MW

  7. Capacity Factors from NREL Data Right now this is how we are expressing WREZ Hub capacity and capacity factor (exaggerated for effect) Capacity Factor (%) WREZ Gen 1 WREZ Capacity 0 MW

  8. Capacity Factors from NREL Data Alternative technique for modeling WREZ Hub capacity and capacity factors (exaggerated for effect) WREZ Gen 1 Capacity Factor (%) WREZ Gen 2 WREZ Gen 3 WREZ Capacity 0 MW

  9. To close… Please review “2032 Reference Case.xlsx” and follow up with any concerns/questions by Friday (6/29)

  10. Keegan Moyer Associate Staff Engineer kmoyer@wecc.biz (801)819-7662 Questions?

More Related