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VIRGINIA I-81: VDRPT Marketing Study of I-81/I-95 Corridor. Briefing for AASHTO Standing Committee on Rail Transportation Joseph Bryan, Reebie Associates September, 2003. STUDY MOTIVATION. 2 Acts of VA Legislature Sought Rail-Based Solutions for: Projected Congestion
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VIRGINIA I-81:VDRPT Marketing Studyof I-81/I-95 Corridor Briefing for AASHTO Standing Committee on Rail Transportation Joseph Bryan, Reebie Associates September, 2003
STUDY MOTIVATION • 2 Acts of VA Legislature Sought Rail-Based Solutions for: • Projected Congestion • Safety Concerns & Perceptions
Primary Market Research Intermodal Product Design Traffic Diversion Analysis Rail Improvements Assessment 4 STEPS OF ANALYSIS
MARKET SURVEY • Interviewed Shippers, 3PLs, Truck Lines • Primary Purchase Criteria: Reliability, Price, Transit Time • Rate reductions & on-time performance shift traffic • Truck Line decisions also reflect asset utilization • 28% of I-81 truck traffic from large or super motor carriers
I-81 TRUCK TRAFFIC MIX By LOH VA Section
MARKET SEGMENTATION Expanding the Product Portfolio: Intermodal Product Offerings Long-haul dry-van – intermodal compatible – large and super carrier – dense lane traffic Double Stack & TOFC + Expressway + Rolling Highway Intermodally Incompatible Equipment Double Stack & TOFC + Expressway Double Stack & TOFC Traffic handled by Small and Mid-sized motor carriers Traffic moving less than 100 miles in Corridor and/or lacking Intermodal density
PRODUCT STRATEGY • Menu of Services • Full Over-the-Road Equivalent, Not Inferior Good • Trailer Service - TOFC, Expressway-style • Appeal to Motor Carriers • Mimic Highway Network Balance • Target Large Network Carriers as Diversion Mechanism
POTENTIAL RAIL IMPROVEMENTS • Full double track • Reduced curvature • Bi-directional TC signaling • Frequent crossovers • 36-mile new construction • IMX terminals • Improvements serve product strategy
MODERATING CAPITAL INTENSITY Public Investment Options: • Track upgrades, terminal construction, + maintenance = 24% • Add terminal function = 42% • Add platform acquisition + maintenance = 56% • Large portions are capital costs
TRAFFIC DIVERSION (Schematic) Rail traffic builds with time, speed, & investment
KEY IMX PRODUCT PROPOSITION • Open Technology • Competitive Service • Compelling Economic Advantage Aided by: • Confluent volume • Network effects
CORE FINDINGS - PRELIMINARY • Public investment in rail IMX service appears to produce material relief of highways in practical time frames • Effort required to organize finance & multi-jurisdictional cooperation should pay off
Reebie Associates Transportation Management Consultants 2777 Summer Street, Suite 401 Stamford, CT 06905-4310 U.S.A. Telephone: 203-705-0455 Fax: 203-705-0456 www.reebie.com