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Roadmap for the 11 th Five Year Plan ( 2013-2018 )

Roadmap for the 11 th Five Year Plan ( 2013-2018 ). 11 th Round Table Meeting 1-2 September 2011, Thimphu. Presentation outline. Process Basis for 11 th Plan formulation Preliminary Priorities Indicative 11 th Plan Fiscal Framework. PROCESS. Discussions MoF , Sectors, LG–

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Roadmap for the 11 th Five Year Plan ( 2013-2018 )

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  1. Roadmap for the 11th Five Year Plan(2013-2018) 11th Round Table Meeting 1-2 September 2011, Thimphu Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  2. Presentation outline • Process • Basis for 11th Plan formulation • Preliminary Priorities • Indicative 11th Plan Fiscal Framework Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  3. PROCESS Discussions MoF, Sectors, LG– i. Resources, ii. Resource Allocation Formula, iii. Division of Responsibility Brainstorming Workshop - Overall Goals & Strategy August to December 2011 Drafting and Issue of Guidelines for Preparation of 11th Plan (End December 2011) Presentation to GNH Commission (Early December 2011) Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  4. Process • Drafting of Sectoral/Local (January 2012) Governments Plans • Bilateral Consultations – • Sectors/Local Govts/Stakeholders • Preliminary draft Plan(End May 2012) Presentation of Preliminary Draft to GNH Commission (June 2012) Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  5. Process Revision of Preliminary draft – Sectors/Local Government July to December 2012 Sensitization of preliminary 11th Plan to Development Partners (September/October 2012) Finalization of 1st Draft 11th Plan and presentation to Cabinet (End December 2012) Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  6. Process Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  7. 11th Plan Basis Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  8. 11th Plan Basis… • MDGs • Good progress and possible early achiever on many targets at national level • Disparities & gaps exist at local level – Net Primary enrollment ratio 94 % - Gasa 75 % • Pilot MDG Localization project initiated – track progress at Dzongkhag and Geog levels. • Multi-dimensional Poverty Index • Poverty – 23.2 percent (PAR 2007) – 25.8 percent (MPI 2010 ) • MPI 2010 – access to improved sanitation; cooking fuel and school achievements highest area of deprivation Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  9. 11th Plan Preliminary Priorities … Sustainable and Inclusive • Poverty Reduction – “targeted poverty intervention” • Social Development – “reaching the unreached” • Green and Self-Reliant Economy • Cross-cutting themes Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  10. Poverty Reduction “Targeted Poverty Intervention Programme” • Rural Economy Advancement Programme • Village level plans • 10 villages under implementation • Plans for 112 villages developed • Rehabilitation Programme • Land to landless and functionally landless • Resettlement of socio-economically disadvantaged communities Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  11. Social Development • Health, Education and HRD • Improving access and quality • Further improving health/education indicators • IMR/MMR, enrollment rates etc • Investing in Human Capital – matching skills with jobs, alignment to EDP 2010 Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  12. Green and Self-Reliant Economy • Immediate • Accelerated Hydro-power Development (10,000 MW 2020) • “High Value Low Impact” Tourism • Longer term - Promotion of high end green services • ICT – BPO, DC, R & D, financial services etc • Health – wellness destination • Education – high end educational hub • Agriculture – commercial farming, organic farming, cooperatives • Spatial Development • Development of economic hub and strategic growth centre's • Integrated rural-urban development; Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  13. Cross-Cutting Theme • Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management • Governance • Strengthening democratic institution and decentralization • Introduction of performance management system (GPMS) • Gender/Environment Mainstreaming Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  14. Indicative 11th Plan Resource Framework (excluding external resources) 10th Plan 11th Plan % Change (in million USD) (in million USD) Resource (Revenue & Grants) 3,159 2,958 (6%) Domestic Revenue 1,868 2,958 58% Grants 1,126 - (100%) Other receipts 165 - (100%) Outlay (Expenditure + Net Lending) 3,232 4,649 44% Total Expenditure 3,322 4,984 50% Current expenditure 1,686 2,513 49% Capital expenditure 1,636 2,471 51% Net lending (NL) (90) (335) 272% Fiscal Balance (73) (1,691) 2216% % of GDP (3 ) (41) Source: BPFFS, Policy and Planning Division, Ministry of Finance Exchange rate used : Nu. 45 = USD 1 MDG costing Nov. 2007- USD 2.5 billion 2006-2015. USD 1.5 billion 2011-2015. USD 1 billion 2013-2015

  15. Recap • Draft Plan completed by December 2012 • Sensitization to Development Partners – Sept/Oct 2012 • 12th RTM – May 2013 • Priorities shared to be validated through extensive consultations. • Preliminary fiscal deficit USD 1.6 billion Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

  16. Thank You! Gross National Happiness Commission, Thimphu

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