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The State of Human Resources in the Geosciences

The State of Human Resources in the Geosciences. Christopher M. Keane 19 May 2003 Washington, DC. US Geoscience Student Enrollment Normalization 1 Undergraduate and Graduate Levels, 1955-2001. 40000. 35000. 30000. Undergraduate. 25000. 20000. 15000. 10000. Graduates. 5000. 0. 1955.

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The State of Human Resources in the Geosciences

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  1. The State of Human Resources in the Geosciences Christopher M. Keane 19 May 2003 Washington, DC

  2. US Geoscience Student EnrollmentNormalization 1Undergraduate and Graduate Levels, 1955-2001 40000 35000 30000 Undergraduate 25000 20000 15000 10000 Graduates 5000 0 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 AGI, 2001

  3. US Geoscience Student EnrollmentNormalization 2Undergraduate and Graduate Levels, 1955-2002 40000 35000 30000 Undergraduate 25000 Students 20000 15000 10000 Graduate 5000 0 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year AGI, 2002

  4. Total Degrees in GeoscienceNormalization 21973-2002 8000 7000 BS MS PhD 6000 5000 Degrees 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 Year

  5. Female Geoscience Enrollment and Degrees 1974-2002 45 40 Enrolled 35 30 Percent Female Graduated 25 20 15 10 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Year

  6. US Geoscience EmploymentAGI Demographic Survey 1986 Other Academic Retired/Unemployed 5% 7% 10% Government Environmental 12% 7% Mining 9% Petroleum 50% Total Population 120,000

  7. US Geoscience EmploymentNSF National Survey of College Graduates 1993 Academic Retired/Unemployed 11% 23% Government Petroleum 12% Environment Mining 34% 12% 7% Total Population 125,000

  8. US Geoscience EmploymentAGI Demographic Survey 2000 Other Unemployed/Retired 6% 6% Petroleum 30% Academia 20% Mining 8% Government Environmental 16% 14%

  9. Petroleum Geoscientist DemandGeologists, Geophysicists, and Engineers 90 80 Demand ?? 70 ?? 60 Total Workforce 50 Current Workforce Petroleum Geoscientists (Thousands) 40 30 20 New Entries (3% Growth) 10 0 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Year

  10. 160.00 140.00 120.00 100.00 Billions of Dollars 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 0.00 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Year The Geoscience Economy Oil/Gas Environmental Academic R&D Coal Mining Fed R&D Source: US BEA/NSF

  11. GeoNP vs. GNP 150 10000 9000 140 GNP 8000 130 7000 6000 Billions of Dollars (Geo) 120 5000 GeoNP Billions of Dollars (GNP) 110 4000 3000 100 2000 90 1000 80 0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Year

  12. Future Directions • Improving response rates • Looking at economic activity instead of heads? • Address issues in Rand report • Professional science degree • Improving certainty for students

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