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Harry S. Dent, Jr. Austin, Texas June 16-17, 2006. Dow Channel. Dow Industrials Daily High-Low-Close. Dow Industrials Weekly High-Low-Close. NASDAQ Daily High-Low-Close. Total Put/Call Ratio. OEX Put/Call Ratio. NYSE McClellan Oscillator. NASDAQ McClellan Oscillator.
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Dow Jones Industrials1920s Recovery vs. 2000s Recovery Dow 1920s Dow 2000s Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Source: Yahoo Finance
Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow 1990s vs. Dow 2000s Dow 1990s Dow 2000s Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05 Jan-06 Apr-06 Jul-06 Source: Yahoo Finance
4th Presidential Year 1st Presidential Year 2nd Presidential Year 3rd Presidential Year Four Year Presidential Cycle Source: Ned Davis Research, www.ndr.com
Dow IndustrialsWeekly High-Low-Close 3 5 3 5 4 3 1 1 4 1 5 2 3 2 1 2 4 2
Dow IndustrialsWeekly High-Low-Close 1 B 5 B 3 A C C 1 A 2 4 2
NasdaqWeekly High-Low-Close 3 5 3 4 1 1 B 5 3 2 C 4 A 1 2 2
NasdaqWeekly High-Low-Close 1 B 5 3 A C 4 2 1 2
Crude Oil1998-2006 3? 3? 4 1 2 Source: Energy Information Administration
Gold1999-2006 5? 3 4 1 2 Source: Bloomberg
Copper FuturesWeekly Source: Bloomberg
DJ-AIG Energy IndexWeekly 3 4 1 2 Source: Bloomberg
DJ-AIG Precious Metals IndexWeekly Source: Bloomberg
DJ-AIG Industrial Metals IndexWeekly Source: Bloomberg
DJ-AIG Commodity IndexEnergy and Metals OnlyWeekly 3 1 4 2 Source: Bloomberg
MSCI Emerging Market IndexWeekly 3 4? 1 2 Source: Yahoo Finance
US Dollar Index1995-2006 Source: Bloomberg
Crude Oil in Euros and Dollars1998-2006 Source: Energy Information Administration, Federal Reserve
Gold in Euros and Dollars 1998-2006 Source: Bloomberg, Federal Reserve
Too Hot to Handle Overpriced vacation markets based on income levels, historical prices and other factors. Source: Barron’s, National City
Flip City Areas where a large portion of purchases are for investment rather than primary residence. Source: Barron’s, National City
Cities in the Sweet Spot1 Million – 2 Million Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Cities Approaching the Sweet Spot750,000 – 1 Million Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau