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INSIGHTS ON DISASTER RESILIENCE FROM 2008’S DISASTERS AND DISASTER PLANNING SCENARIOS

INSIGHTS ON DISASTER RESILIENCE FROM 2008’S DISASTERS AND DISASTER PLANNING SCENARIOS. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA. SEVEN TYPES OF NOTABLE DISASTERS AND THE CALIFORNIA SHAKEOUT EARTHQUAKE SCENARIOS. 2008. NOTABLE DISASTERS IN 2008.

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INSIGHTS ON DISASTER RESILIENCE FROM 2008’S DISASTERS AND DISASTER PLANNING SCENARIOS

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  1. INSIGHTS ON DISASTER RESILIENCE FROM 2008’S DISASTERS AND DISASTER PLANNING SCENARIOS Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA

  2. SEVEN TYPES OF NOTABLE DISASTERS AND THE CALIFORNIA SHAKEOUT EARTHQUAKE SCENARIOS 2008

  3. NOTABLE DISASTERS IN 2008 CYCLONE NARGIS NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE FLOODING IN MIDWESTERN USA CATALYSTS FOR CHANGE TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA ERUPTION OF VOLCANO CHAITEN GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

  4. MAIN IDEA Each disaster provides deeper insights on: 1) Protection, 2) Preparedness, 3) Early Warning, 4) Emergency Response, and 5) Recovery and Reconstruction

  5. BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives On Science, Policy, And DISASTER RESILIENCE

  6. GOAL: COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE FLOODS IMPROVE ON PAST PERFORMANCE SEVERE WIND STORMS EARTHQUAKES INCREASED TECHNICAL AND POLITICL CAPACITY OF COMMUNITY TO COPE DROUGHTS INCREASED OWNERSHIP AND USE OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE LANDSLIDES WILDFIRES VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE TERRORISM

  7. FIVE PILLARS OF RESILIENCE • HAZARDS • INVENTORY • VULNERABILITY • LOCATION • PROTECTION • PEPAREDNESS • EARLY WARNING • EMERGENCY RESPONSE • RECOVERY/RECONSTRUCT. RISK ASSESSMENT ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK GOAL: DISASTER RESILIENCE DATA BASES AND INFORMATION YOUR COMMUNITY HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

  8. QUICK REVIEWS

  9. SEVEN NOTABLE TYPES OF DISASTERS DURING 2008 CYCLONE NARGIS, MYANMAR (BURMA), MAY 2-3

  10. PATH OF CYCLONE NARGIS: WARNING IGNORED: MAY 2-3, 2008

  11. CYCLONE NARGIS: People unprepared. The storm's 120 mph winds blew roofs off hospitals, downed trees, and cut electricity to the country's largest city, Rangon. Torrential rain caused local flooding.

  12. ODDS AGAINST SURVIVAL: Political Myanmar’s policies of self-sufficiency delayed entry of food and materials from all but a few countries, and usually without the skilled disaster workers.

  13. MAIN INSIGHTS FROM CYCLONE NARGIS • WHEN YOU HAVE EARLY WARNING, USE IT TO EVACUATE THE PEOPLE IN HARM’S WAY • MORE LIVES ARE SAVED AND RECOVERY IS ACCELERATED WHEN YOU ARE PREPARED TO ACCEPT INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

  14. SEVEN NOTABLE TYPES OF DISASTERS DURING 2008 VOLCANO CHAITEN (CHILE), MAY 3

  15. AFTER 10,000 YEAR DORMANCY, CHAITEN ERUPTS IN CHILE

  16. PRESIDENT DECLARES STATE OF EMERGENCY 1500 EVACUATED DRINKING WATER CONTAMINATED CHAITEN‘S ERUPTION CHANGED THE STATUS QUO

  17. CHAITEN CAUSES SEA EVACUATIONS

  18. MAIN INSIGHTS FROM VOLCANO CHAITEN • EVACUATE THE PEOPLE IN HARM’S WAY WHEN YOU HAVE RELIABLE EARLY WARNING • DON’T BECOME UN-PREPARED JUST BECAUSE NO ERUPTIONS HAVE HAPPENED FOR A LONG TIME, EVEN IF THE VOLCANO IS NOT IN YOUR COUNTRY

  19. SEVEN NOTABLE DISASTERS DURING 2008 WENCHUAN, CHINA EARTH-QUAKE; MAY 12

  20. WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE • 88,000 DEAD • 25 MILLIONS HOMES DAMAGED OR DESTROYED • NO MODERN BUILDING CODE

  21. CLEANUP AND RECONSTRUCTION UNDERWAY: JULY 9, 2008

  22. TWENTY-ONE DAYS LATER 45,690,000people were affected by the disaster.

  23. MAIN INSIGHTS FROM WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE • BUILDINGS COLLAPSE, INFRASTRUCTURE LOSES FUNCTION, LIVES ARE LOST, AND MONEY IS WASTED WHEN BUILDINGS AND INFRASTRUCTURE ARE NOT PROTECTED BY MODERN BUILDING CODES AND LIFELINE STANDARDS.

  24. SEVEN TYPES OF NOTABLE DISASTERS DURING 2008 FLOODING IN MIDWEST USA, JUNE 5-16

  25. AFFECTED MIDWESTERN STATES: JUNE 2008

  26. Thousands Evacuated and Hundreds of Thousands AffectedFew Deaths, but Losses Reach Billions5-16 June 2008

  27. FLOODED CORNFIELDS IN DECATUR, ILLINOIS; JUNE 5th

  28. ILLINOIS' LEVEE BREAKS: JUNE 10th

  29. SAND BAGS: CEDAR FALLS, IOWA; JUNE 11th

  30. A “500 YEAR FLOOD” SITUATION DEVELOPED AS NINE IOWA RIVERS REACHED OR APPROACHED HISTORIC LEVELS. UNUSUAL FLOODING IN IOWA:

  31. FLOODING: CEDAR RAPIDS, IOWA; JUNE 12th

  32. MAIN INSIGHTS FROM USA’S FLOODS • MONITORING, EARLY WARNING, EVACUATION, AND WETLANDS, SANDBAGS, LEVEES, AND DAMS ARE VITAL FOR SAVING LIVES AND PROTECTING PROPERTY. • BEING PREPARED INCLUDES CONSIDERATION OF POSSIBLE WATER-BORNE DISEASES

  33. SEVEN TYPES OF NOTABLE DISASTERS DURING 2008 16 SEVERE WINDSTORMS IN ATLANTIC BASIN; 2008 SEASON

  34. HURRICANE IKE: ONE OF 16 STORMS; SEPT 11

  35. MAIN INSIGHTS FROM 2008’S SEVERE WINDSTORMS • EARLY WARNING AND EVACUATION TO MOVE PEOPLE OUT OF HARM’S WAY ARE VITAL FOR SAVING LIVES • WIND ENGINEERING PROTECTS PROPERTY • INSURANCE SPREADS RISK

  36. SEVEN NOTABLE TYPES OF DISASTERS CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES, JULY

  37. WILDFIRE IN YOSEMITE VALLEY NATIONAL PARK: JULY 29, 2008

  38. FIRE SUPRESSION; JULY t

  39. MAIN INSIGHTS FROM CALIFORNIA’S WILDFIRES • EARLY WARNING PROVIDES TIME TO EVACUATE THE PEOPLE WHO ARE IN HARM’S WAY • POST-WILDFIRES SLOPES ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO MUDFLOWS • REGIONAL COOPERATION SPEEDS RESPONSE AND RECOVERY

  40. SEVEN NOTABLE TYPES OF DISASTERS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE, ONGOING

  41. GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE: A DEVELOPING ISSUE • Small European glaciersare melting. • Larger glaciers, Greenland, and Antarctica are also melting, but much slower. • Average global temperature is rising. • Sea level is rising.

  42. MAIN INSIGHTS FROM GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE • LONG-TERM MONITORING IS VITAL FOR UNDERSTANDING WHAT IS HAPPENING OVER TIME,AND WHY • UNDERSTANDING IS THE KEY TO REALISTIC ADAPTATION TO THE CHANGES AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF TECHNOLOGIES AND POLICIES

  43. CALIFORNIA EARTHQUAKE SHAKEOUT SCENARIOS NOVEMBER 2008

  44. SCENARIO EARTHQUAKES FOR CALIFORNIA ADVANCE PLANNING SO THAT CALIFORNIA WILL BE READY WHEN THE INEVITABLE “BIG ONES” RECUR Source: US Geological Survey

  45. QUAKE SHAKEOUT SCENARIO THE GOAL: Identify the physical, social and economic conse-quences of major earthquakes in California, so that end users can identify what they can change now—before the earthquake —to avoid catastrophic impacts after the earthquake.

  46. HAYWARD FAULT ZONE

  47. SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA SCENARIO The Bay Area straddles the boundary between the North American and Pacific tectonic plates. Much of the stress release is on the San Andreas fault, but some of it is relieved by the Hayward faultand other smaller parallel faults.

  48. A HAYWARD FAULT SCENARIO A Hayward fault earthquake is likely to be one of the nation's biggest natural disasters. A Hayward fault quake damages homes, schools, senior centers, hospitals, businesses and the campus of UC Berkeley and impacts 7 million people.

  49. HAYWARD FAULT SCENARIO

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